AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.11 15:06
Top Undervalued
+49¢
32°C(No)
+33.8¢
33°C(Yes)
+11.4¢
34°C(Yes)
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 12? AI analysis: • +49¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
Latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature for the Sepang district (WMKK) on April ...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
32°C
YesNo
84¢
16¢
35¢
65¢
0¢
+49¢
33°C
YesNo
8.15¢
91.85¢
42¢
58¢
+33.8¢
0¢
Expand to view all 7 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the specific daily high temperature for a particular city is a common derivative niche in prediction markets (weather markets). However, for the general public, dwelling on such highly specific and precise meteorological outcomes is quite unusual.
Movers
April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of the 34°C option plummeted from 33c to 14.5c, and the 31°C option fell from 21c to 8.5c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, forecast models have converged, ruling out higher or lower temperatures.
April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the 32°C option surged from 24.5c to 40.5c, and the 33°C option rose from 31.5c to 42.5c. The reason is that short-term weather forecasts have clearly locked the maximum temperature in the 32-33°C range, causing funds to concentrate on these two most likely options.
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the Yes price of the 33°C option surged from 20c to 37c. The reason is that as the date approaches, meteorological forecast models have become more certain about 33°C, leading to a large influx of market funds into this option.
April 8, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the Yes price of the 34°C option rose from 18c to 29c. The reason is that there is some upward fluctuation space in the forecasts, and traders are using it as a hedge for the high-probability range.
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the Yes price of the 36°C option plummeted from 16.5c to 2.65c. The reason is that short-term weather forecasts have ruled out the possibility of extreme high temperatures.