Explain the resolution rules for this London temperature market like I'm 5: since the market resolves to whole degrees, how are decimal temperatures like 19.5°C handled, and when exactly is the Wunderground (EGLC) data finalized?

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution rules for this London temperature market like I'm 5: since the market resolves to whole degrees, how are decimal temperatures like 19.5°C handled, and when exactly is the Wunderground (EGLC) data finalized?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on current meteorological models for London's weather on April 9, which temperature range options are the most probable, and what is the typical margin of error for weather forecasts made 4 days in advance?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on current meteorological models for London's weather on April 9, which temperature range options are the most probable, and what is the typical margin of error for weather forecasts made 4 days in advance?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the extremely low trading volume (~$60) in this market, how can I execute a 'Stink Bid' strategy by placing ultra-low limit orders on outlier temperature brackets (e.g., 15°C or below, 25°C or higher) to capitalize on sudden forecast shifts or illiquidity?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the extremely low trading volume (~$60) in this market, how can I execute a 'Stink Bid' strategy by placing ultra-low limit orders on outlier temperature brackets (e.g., 15°C or below, 25°C or higher) to capitalize on sudden forecast shifts or illiquidity?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in London on April 9?

Weather|$17.8k Vol|

2 days 17 hrs

Highest temperature in London on April 9? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 3 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+7.5¢

21°C(No)

+6¢

16°C(Yes)

+5.5¢

19°C(No)

Highest temperature in London on April 9? AI analysis: • +7.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

As April 9 approaches, meteorological forecast models are converging. Compared to the previous fair ...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

21°C

YesNo

8.45¢

91.55¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+7.5¢

16°C

YesNo

14¢

86¢

20¢

80¢

+6¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

While daily weather is a very common topic, predicting the exact highest temperature down to the specific degree at a specific station on a future date is somewhat niche and carries a degree of novelty for the general public.

Movers

Between April 5, 2026, and April 6, 2026, multiple temperature options experienced severe volatility. The price of '21°C' plummeted from 31.5c to around 4c, and '15°C or below' dropped from 30c to 11c. Meanwhile, '18°C' and '19°C' saw sharp initial drops followed by rebounds (fluctuating >15c). This was caused by the updating of short-term meteorological models as the resolution date neared, ruling out anomalous cold and unusual highs above 20°C, thereby narrowing market expectations to a mild 16°C-19°C range.