Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 30?
Weather|$12.1k Vol|
time0 s

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 30? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.29 21:13
Top Undervalued
+3¢
68-69°F(No)
+2.7¢
74-75°F(No)
+2.4¢
76°F or higher(No)

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 30? AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate cloudy conditions for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on ...
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Bitcoin best month in 2026?
Crypto|$370.6k Vol|
time276 days 16 hrs

Bitcoin best month in 2026?

Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
September(No)
+1.4¢
March(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current date is March 30, 2026. As Q1 wraps up, time decay is extremely prominent. January is effect...
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Hedging
BTC
This event is directly correlated with Bitcoin's price volatility. Winning the 'Best Month' title implies a significant uptrend for that month (e.g., >20% gain). While the market resolution itself does not drive the asset price, the event is essentially a bet on high-volatility bullish periods, serving as a relevant instrument for bullish strategies or hedging.
AI Analysis
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
netflix|$25.7k Vol|
time11 hrs 23 mins

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Top Undervalued
+1.3¢
Trap House(No)
+1.3¢
War Machine(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest streaming data tracking, recently released hit movies not included in the option...
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Movers
Mar 25, 2026 - Mar 26, 2026, the price of 'War Machine' plummeted from 11c to 3.4c, eventually settling around 1.3c, as real-time tracking showed its viewership falling short of unlisted competitors. Mar 24, 2026 - Mar 26, 2026, the price of 'Trolls' plummeted from 25.5c to 1.45c, as weekend viewership data confirmed the catalog title could not maintain the top spot against unlisted new releases.
AI Analysis
What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
Culture|$63.5k Vol|
time11 hrs 23 mins

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Top Undervalued
+1.7¢
Virgin River: Season 7(Yes)
+1.3¢
ONE PIECE: Season 2(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the tracking week nears its end (concluding Sunday), ONE PIECE Season 2 has thoroughly cemented i...
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Movers
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026: The price of ONE PIECE: Season 2 surged from 68.5c to 95.5c, as the tracking period nears its end and market confidence in it topping the English TV list has crystallized into near certainty, leading to a heavy sell-off of other options. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026: The price of ONE PIECE: Season 2 surged from 25c to a peak of 78.5c before settling around 67c, driven by market confidence that its viewership hours significantly outpaced competitors, alleviating concerns of a third-week drop-off. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026: The prices of A Friend, A Murderer: Limited Series and The TikTok Killer: Limited Series plummeted from ~8c to under 1c, as traders realized these are non-English series and thus ineligible for the English-only tracking list.
AI Analysis
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics|$1.1m Vol|
time30 days 11 hrs

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Top Undervalued
+2¢
(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
2¢
Arbitrage
34%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Low Risk
Arbitrage Plan: Buy Option_'No' Plan Description: Buying 'No' at 97.15 cents yields a profit of about 2.85 cents upon resolution in 31 days, translati...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
With only about 31 days remaining until the April 30 deadline, the probability of an official ceasef...
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Hedging
Gold
Crude Oil
LMT
S&P 500
An official Russia-Ukraine ceasefire would be a major 'Risk-on' event for global markets. Crude Oil prices would face significant downward pressure (Score 4) as the 'war premium' evaporates, and safe-haven assets like Gold would likely retreat. Conversely, equity markets (especially those weighed down by energy costs and European exposure) would rally on the removal of geopolitical risk. Defense stocks (e.g., LMT) might see a short-term pullback due to expectations of de-escalation.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
68-69°F
YesNo
26¢
74¢
23¢
77¢
+3¢
74-75°F
YesNo
5.75¢
94.25¢
97¢
+2.7¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Weather forecasting is relatively common in specific prediction markets (like Kalshi or Polymarket), but predicting exact daily temperature ranges for a single city remains a somewhat niche and mundane topic for the general public.
Movers
Between 19:10 and 20:15 on March 29, 2026, several options below 65°F and the 72-73°F option experienced sharp drops of over 10 cents. For instance, 64-65°F fell from 27c to 8c, 60-61°F plummeted from 23c to 4.5c, and 72-73°F dropped from 27.5c to 15c. This occurred because as the target date approaches, weather models have become more confident in the forecast, heavily concentrating the expected high temperature within the 66-71°F range and drastically reducing the probabilities of outlier temperatures.

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