Retrieve the latest weather forecast information for Munich on March 24, 2026, visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book depth and user discussions given the extremely low volume ($750), and update the assessment of fair value and risks for each temperature range based on meteorological models.

AI-powered analysis for: Retrieve the latest weather forecast information for Munich on March 24, 2026, visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book depth and user discussions given the extremely low volume ($750), and update the assessment of fair value and risks for each temperature range based on meteorological models.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search for the latest maximum temperature forecasts for Munich Airport (EDDM) on March 24 from major meteorological models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS, ICON) and compare them with the market's resolution source, Wunderground, to identify any significant discrepancies.

AI-powered analysis for: Search for the latest maximum temperature forecasts for Munich Airport (EDDM) on March 24 from major meteorological models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS, ICON) and compare them with the market's resolution source, Wunderground, to identify any significant discrepancies.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the current bid-ask spread and the total volume of only $750, calculate the optimal limit order price for the most likely temperature options (e.g., 9°C-12°C) to avoid significant slippage losses associated with market orders.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the current bid-ask spread and the total volume of only $750, calculate the optimal limit order price for the most likely temperature options (e.g., 9°C-12°C) to avoid significant slippage losses associated with market orders.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Munich on March 24?

Weather|$10.8k Vol|

1 days 13 hrs

Highest temperature in Munich on March 24? - AI Found +30.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.21 21:14

Top Undervalued

+30.5¢

13°C(Yes)

+21¢

15°C(No)

+18.5¢

16°C or higher(No)

Highest temperature in Munich on March 24? AI analysis: • +30.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Forecast models show a critical split centered heavily on 13°C and 14°C. The resolution source, Wund...

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

13°C

YesNo

9.5¢

90.5¢

40¢

60¢

+30.5¢

0¢

15°C

YesNo

29¢

71¢

8¢

92¢

0¢

+21¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

March 21, 2026: The price of 12°C plummeted from 21.5c to 8.5c, indicating the market is correcting a previous hedge on cooler temperatures as models consolidate around the 13-14°C range. March 21, 2026: The price of 13°C dropped from 26.5c to 16.5c. This move appears irrational as updated AccuWeather airport data (56°F/13°C) actually strengthens the case for this outcome. March 21, 2026: '16°C or higher' saw high volatility, spiking from 13c to 24c before settling at 18.5c, reflecting speculative trading on a potential warm spike despite a lack of supporting meteorological data.

Divergence

There is a severe divergence between market pricing and meteorological consensus. While the market correctly favors 14°C, it incorrectly prices '16°C or higher' as the second most likely outcome (18.5% implied probability) despite forecasts showing near-zero chance of this heat. Conversely, AccuWeather explicitly predicts 13°C for the airport, yet the market prices it at only 16.5%, significantly underpricing a core outcome.