From 2026-04-11 to 2026-04-12, the price of 14°C plummeted from a high of 49.5c to around 24c, while the price of 15°C surged from 27.5c to 47.5c. The 16°C option also rose to 22.9c. This was caused by the latest meteorological forecasts confirming a high of 59°F (15°C), shifting market consensus toward slightly warmer outcomes. From 2026-04-09 to 2026-04-11, as the resolution date approached, extreme weather possibilities were ruled out, leaving 14°C and 15°C as the main competing brackets, causing significant volatility between them. From 2026-04-08 to 2026-04-09, prices for cooler/warmer options like 11°C, 12°C, and 16°C+ plummeted by more than 10c as weather models converged, ruling out extreme temperature anomalies.

April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the Yes price for 64+ surged from 37.5c to 90.65c, while the 70+ option crashed from 30.5c to 4.5c. This occurred because as more reviews were published, the Rotten Tomatoes score became firmly locked around 66%, drastically reducing the likelihood of extreme high or low scores. April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the Yes price for the 68+ option plummeted from 50.5c to 17.5c. This was driven by the embargo lifting on early reviews, revealing a Rotten Tomatoes score hovering around 67%, which shattered market confidence in the score staying above 68%. April 8, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the 68+ Yes price saw wild swings, dropping from 41c to 13.5c before rebounding, reflecting heavy speculation and divergence over early screening reactions.

2026-04-10 to 2026-04-11, the >22m bracket skyrocketed from 19.5c to 99.15c, while the 18-20m bracket crashed from 60c to around 1c. This was driven by initial Friday box office numbers revealing a much stronger-than-expected weekend hold, locking the total above $22 million. 2026-04-09 to 2026-04-10, the 20-22m bracket surged from 16.5c to 55.5c, followed by wide fluctuations between 32.5c and 50c. This was driven by significant upward revisions in weekend box office tracking as the actual weekend approached, causing rapid repricing by traders. 2026-04-08 to 2026-04-09, multiple brackets experienced extreme volatility. The <18m bracket crashed from 40c to 9c, the 18-20m bracket dropped from 55c to 4c before rebounding to 38.5c, and the 20-22m bracket surged from 29.5c to 46c then fell to 16.5c. This was likely driven by frequent revisions in weekend box office estimates and large traders causing temporary pricing inefficiencies.

April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of the '14m-15m' option surged from 19c to 43c, and '13m-14m' surged from 12.25c to 45.75c, as video view growth slowed, shifting market expectations to these brackets. April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of the '15m+' option pulled back from 68c to 47-50c, indicating that earlier overly optimistic growth expectations were revised. April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of the '15m+' option surged from 42.5c to 68c, as the video's actual view growth far exceeded expectations, confirming it will easily break the 15 million mark. April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of the '14m-15m' option plummeted from 40c to 10c, as view velocity indicated the final count would land in a higher bracket. April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of the '13m-14m' option crashed from 44c to 3.1c, as this range was ruled out by actual data growth. April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of the '12m-13m' option experienced a brief spike from 41c to 69.5c before plummeting to 5.5c, reflecting a rapid upward shift in market expectations. April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of the '11m-12m' option dropped from 41c to 2.1c, as the minimum view threshold was shattered. April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of the '<11m' option fell from 34c to 3.3c (with a brief abnormal spike), essentially confirming this bracket is impossible.