Explain the resolution rules for the Paris temperature market like I'm 5, especially regarding how whole degree Celsius measurements from the Wunderground Charles de Gaulle Airport station will be used.

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution rules for the Paris temperature market like I'm 5, especially regarding how whole degree Celsius measurements from the Wunderground Charles de Gaulle Airport station will be used.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on historical weather data for mid-April, what is the historical frequency of Paris reaching extreme temperature ranges like '18°C or higher' or '8°C or below'?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on historical weather data for mid-April, what is the historical frequency of Paris reaching extreme temperature ranges like '18°C or higher' or '8°C or below'?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the current low volume of 161.6 in this market, how can I calculate the actual net profit of a $1000 bet on a specific temperature range (e.g., 15°C) after deducting estimated gas fees and slippage?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the current low volume of 161.6 in this market, how can I calculate the actual net profit of a $1000 bet on a specific temperature range (e.g., 15°C) after deducting estimated gas fees and slippage?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Paris on April 12?

Weather|$10.3k Vol|

2 days 1 hrs

Highest temperature in Paris on April 12? - AI Found +10¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.09 18:59

Top Undervalued

+10¢

15°C(No)

+10¢

13°C(Yes)

+9.5¢

14°C(No)

Highest temperature in Paris on April 12? AI analysis: • +10¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

With less than 3 days until resolution, weather forecast accuracy is significantly high. Major meteo...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

15°C

YesNo

35¢

65¢

25¢

75¢

0¢

+10¢

13°C

YesNo

10¢

90¢

20¢

80¢

+10¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

While daily weather forecasting is a standard activity, trading on the exact highest temperature bucket of a specific city on a given date is a relatively niche and novel concept for retail participants in prediction markets.

Movers

April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026: The price of the 11°C option plummeted from 19c to 1.5c, and the 12°C option dropped from 20c to 6.5c. This is because, as the date approaches, weather forecast models have ruled out the possibility of unusually low temperatures. April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026: The price of the 14°C option rose from 20c to 33c, driven by updated forecast data from major meteorological agencies converging around 14°C, bolstering market confidence.