Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 6?
Weather|$28.2k Vol|
time0 s

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 6? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.06 05:38
Top Undervalued
+5.5¢
30°C(No)
+2¢
31°C(No)
+1.5¢
27°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 6? AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts show that the highest temperature at Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International ...
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IL-03 House Election Winner
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time209 days 14 hrs

IL-03 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+4.4¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
+4.2¢
Republican Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Illinois' 3rd Congressional District (IL-03) is a solid Democratic stronghold with a Cook PVI of D+1...
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AI Analysis
IL-02 House Election Winner
Politics|$11.4k Vol|
time209 days 14 hrs

IL-02 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+5.8¢
Republican Party(No)
+5.5¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
IL-02 is a deep blue district with a Cook PVI of D+19. Given the overwhelming demographic advantage,...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 8?
Weather|$10.5k Vol|
time1 days 2 hrs

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 8?

Top Undervalued
+6¢
33°C(No)
+3.5¢
34°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest forecasts and price trends, the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur (WMKK) on Ap...
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Movers
From April 5 to April 6, 2026, the price of the 33°C option surged from 31.5c to 40.5c as approaching settlement dates and short-term weather models further confirmed this temperature range as the highest probability. On April 4, 2026, the price of the 34°C option jumped from 0.2 to 0.305, as the approaching settlement date brought more precise weather forecasts pointing to this temperature. From April 3 to April 4, 2026, the price of the 37°C option plummeted from 0.18 to 0.004, as the possibility of extreme high temperatures was ruled out by clearer short-term forecasts. From April 3 to April 4, 2026, the price of the 28°C or below option dropped from 0.38 to 0.063, as the likelihood of low temperatures was similarly dismissed by the latest weather models.
AI Analysis
IL-01 House Election Winner
Politics|$18.8k Vol|
time209 days 14 hrs

IL-01 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+7¢
Republican Party(No)
+6.5¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Illinois's 1st congressional district (IL-01) is one of the safest Democratic strongholds in the U.S...
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AI Analysis
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
Politics|$21.6k Vol|
time56 days 14 hrs

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

Top Undervalued
+11¢
3(Yes)
+10.4¢
1(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of late March 2026, the prediction market indicates that the ruling PPP is most likely to win 2 o...
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AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
30°C
YesNo
15.5¢
84.5¢
10¢
90¢
+5.5¢
31°C
YesNo
3.05¢
96.95¢
99¢
+2¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
This falls under the common 'daily weather betting' category in prediction markets. For the general public, predicting the exact highest temperature of a specific city in another country on a specific future day is somewhat trivial and niche. However, on mainstream prediction platforms (like Polymarket or Kalshi), it is a standard filler market designed to provide high-frequency trading opportunities.
Movers
April 2, 2026 - April 6, 2026, the price of 29°C surged from 10.5c to 38c as recent weather models adjusted the expected maximum temperature in the Sao Paulo region upwards. April 2, 2026 - April 6, 2026, the price of 28°C surged from 14.5c to a peak of 41.5c before settling around 38c, due to short-term forecasts concentrating temperatures in the 28°C-29°C range. April 2, 2026 - April 6, 2026, the price of 26°C plummeted from 22.5c to 2.25c, reflecting the dissipation of initial uncertainty for temperatures below 27°C, as the probability of cooler air dropped significantly.

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