Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
Weather|$14.7k Vol|
time1 days 23 hrs

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1? - AI Found +12¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 11 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+12¢
19°C(Yes)
+10¢
18°C(No)
+9.5¢
20°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1? AI analysis: • +12¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the expected highest temperature for Shanghai Pudong Airp...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
Culture|$159.6k Vol|
time11 hrs 25 mins

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than half a day remaining until the deadline (March 31, 2026), the former FaZe members hav...
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Exotics
This is a niche market focused on the dynamics of a specific influencer circle. While a hot topic for esports/streaming fans, it falls into the 'gossip/entertainment' category for the general public, tracking career moves of influencers rather than macro events.
AI Analysis
Who will Trump meet with in March?
Geopolitics|$239.2k Vol|
time11 hrs 25 mins

Who will Trump meet with in March?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
Reza Pahlavi(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
4¢
Arbitrage
900%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Low Risk
Arbitrage Plan: Buy 'No' shares for Mark Zuckerberg, Andy Jassy, or Sam Altman. Plan Description: Buying 'No' at around 95-96 cents yields a near risk-free return of 4-5 cents in less than 2 days (a...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 2 days left in March, there are no official schedules or credible rumors of upcoming ...
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Exotics
This is a hybrid market blending serious geopolitics (Xi, Putin), macroeconomics (Powell), and pop culture (MrBeast). While 'presidential meetings' are standard political fare, the eclectic range of options—from dictators to YouTubers to a hypothetical Pope—adds significant novelty and entertainment value.
Hedging
Crude Oil
S&P 500
TSLA
US 10Y Yield
This event carries significant macro hedging value. A meeting with Jerome Powell would be interpreted as political pressure on the Fed, impacting US 10Y Yields and the S&P 500 due to concerns over central bank independence. Meetings with Putin or MBS directly influence Crude Oil and geopolitical risk premiums. Interactions with Musk, Nadella, or Altman serve as signals for tech regulation and AI policy, acting as catalysts for tickers like TSLA and MSFT.
Movers
March 27, 2026 - March 30, 2026, Sam Altman's price plummeted from 17c to 1.55c. Reason: With March ending and no schedule announced, the last bit of speculative expectation was completely squeezed out. March 27, 2026 - March 29, 2026, Andy Jassy's price plummeted from 31.5c to 4c. Reason: As the weekend passed with no schedule announcements, market expectations for a March meeting completely collapsed. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, Sam Altman's price rebounded from 4c to 17.5c. Reason: As the end of the month approaches, speculative capital is making last-minute gambles among tech executive candidates. March 24, 2026 - March 26, 2026, Keir Starmer's price plummeted from 41c to 4c. Reason: Earlier rumors of a surprise visit by the UK Prime Minister to Mar-a-Lago failed to materialize or gain official confirmation over several days, leading to a massive exit of speculative capital. March 24, 2026 - March 26, 2026, Dario Amodei's price crashed from 33.5c to 2.5c, and Satya Nadella's dropped from 14.5c to 3.4c, indicating that market expectations for a large-scale AI/tech summit hosted by Trump in March have completely collapsed or the event is assumed delayed. March 21, 2026 - March 24, 2026, Mark Zuckerberg's price dropped from 32.5c to 20c. Reason: Market capital appeared to be rotating out of the Meta CEO and consolidating into Amazon (Jassy) and AI startups (Amodei/Altman), implying a shift in rumors regarding the guest list for the potential Tech Summit. March 20, 2026 - March 22, 2026, Keir Starmer's price surged from 31c to 49c before retracing to 40.5c. Reason: Rumors of a surprise UK PM visit to Mar-a-Lago triggered a speculative frenzy, which cooled off due to a lack of official confirmation.
AI Analysis
Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
Politics|$167.8k Vol|
time11 hrs 25 mins

Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+0.9¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 30, 2026, with less than 2 days remaining until the March 31 deadline, there are no repo...
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Exotics
A sitting President suing the Fed Chair is historically unprecedented and would severely violate norms of Central Bank independence. While political friction is standard, the specific act of litigation represents an extreme, 'black swan' level exotic scenario.
Hedging
Gold
BTC
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
If this occurs, it would be interpreted as a declaration of war on Fed independence, potentially triggering a constitutional crisis. Equities (S&P 500) would likely suffer a significant sell-off due to institutional risk, bond yields could spike on trust erosion, and capital might flee to Gold and Bitcoin as hedges against systemic breakdown.
AI Analysis
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?
Trump|$254.7k Vol|
time11 hrs 25 mins

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+1¢
June 30(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
1¢
Arbitrage
328.5%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Low Risk
Arbitrage Plan: Buy the 'No' option for 'March 31' Plan Description: The current 'No' price for 'March 31' is 99.1c. With less than 12 hours until expiration and no sign...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than half a day remaining until March 31, the probability of Trump talking to Mojtaba Kham...
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Hedging
Gold
S&P 500
Crude Oil
LMT
DXY
This event is directly correlated with the ongoing US-Iran war (March 2026). A 'Yes' resolution (a talk) would be perceived as a major de-escalation or ceasefire signal, causing a massive crash in Crude Oil (war premium) and Gold, a pullback in defense stocks (e.g., LMT), and a likely sharp rally in equities (SPX). Conversely, 'No' implies the continuation of the war and regime change policy, maintaining high oil prices and risk-off sentiment.
AI Analysis
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
Geopolitics|$136.8k Vol|
time11 hrs 25 mins

Netanyahu arrested by March 31?

Top Undervalued
0¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 12 hours remaining until the March 31, 2026 deadline, there is no breaking news or in...
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Exotics
While a serious geopolitical topic, the actual arrest of a sitting head of state (especially one with strong allies) within a short timeframe is an unconventional event. However, given the existing ICC arrest warrants, the topic has entered mainstream discourse and is not entirely absurd.
Hedging
TA35
Gold
Crude Oil
If Netanyahu were arrested, it would be a massive geopolitical shock, likely causing extreme volatility in the Middle East, a political vacuum in Israel, or broader regional conflict. This would directly spike Crude Oil prices (supply disruption fears) and Gold (safe-haven demand). Israel's domestic indices (like TA-35, though implied here) would face structural shock. Impact on US equities depends on whether the event triggers US involvement or global risk-off sentiment.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
19°C
YesNo
28¢
72¢
40¢
60¢
+12¢
18°C
YesNo
25¢
75¢
15¢
85¢
+10¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
While weather forecasting is an established niche in prediction markets, betting on the exact daily temperature of a specific city is still relatively niche and novelty-driven for the general public.
Movers
From 21:40 to 22:45 on March 29, 2026, the Yes price for the 19°C option surged from 20.5¢ to 33¢. This was driven by updated meteorological forecast models solidifying the expected high temperature around 19°C for April 1, prompting an influx of buying.

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