What are the specific resolution rules (ELI5) for the highest temperature at Shanghai Pudong Airport on April 2 via Wunderground, and how will the market handle it if the official data is revised later?

AI-powered analysis for: What are the specific resolution rules (ELI5) for the highest temperature at Shanghai Pudong Airport on April 2 via Wunderground, and how will the market handle it if the official data is revised later?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on historical weather data statistics, what is the actual occurrence frequency of Shanghai reaching each option's temperature range (e.g., 25°C or higher, or 15°C or below) in early April, specifically April 2nd?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on historical weather data statistics, what is the actual occurrence frequency of Shanghai reaching each option's temperature range (e.g., 25°C or higher, or 15°C or below) in early April, specifically April 2nd?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the extremely low volume of around $45 in this market, what slippage risks and opportunity costs of capital until April 2nd would I face if I place a large bet on a specific temperature range?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the extremely low volume of around $45 in this market, what slippage risks and opportunity costs of capital until April 2nd would I face if I place a large bet on a specific temperature range?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 2?

Weather|$11.5k Vol|

1 days 21 hrs

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 2? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 3 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+4.5¢

22°C(Yes)

+3¢

20°C(No)

+2.2¢

18°C(No)

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 2? AI analysis: • +4.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

The latest weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature for Shanghai Pudong (ZSPD) on Apr...

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

22°C

YesNo

17.5¢

82.5¢

22¢

78¢

+4.5¢

0¢

20°C

YesNo

21¢

79¢

18¢

82¢

0¢

+3¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

March 30, 2026 02:40 - March 31, 2026 11:10, prices for 21°C and 22°C experienced high volatility and ultimately dominated the market (21°C surged from ~6c to 41.5c before settling at 27.5c), as short-term weather models converged to confirm a high of 21-22°C for the day. March 29, 2026 20:10 - March 30, 2026 09:10, the extreme high option (25°C or higher) plummeted from 25.5c to under 5c, as updated models ruled out the possibility of abnormal heat. March 29, 2026 21:15 - March 29, 2026 22:20, the price of '15°C or below' plummeted from 25c to 12c, as updated meteorological models ruled out the possibility of a strong cold front during this period. March 29, 2026 21:15 - March 29, 2026 22:20, the price of '21°C' crashed from 19c to 6.5c, driven by an early temporary consensus downgrade in daytime high temperature forecasts.