Verify the update frequency and reliability of the NOAA weather station at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG). Is there any risk of settlement delays due to data publication lag or system outages?

AI-powered analysis for: Verify the update frequency and reliability of the NOAA weather station at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG). Is there any risk of settlement delays due to data publication lag or system outages?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Analyze the current meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on April 10. Is the temperature outcome highly random, or is there a predictable meteorological pattern (e.g., an incoming cold front or heatwave) supporting it?

AI-powered analysis for: Analyze the current meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on April 10. Is the temperature outcome highly random, or is there a predictable meteorological pattern (e.g., an incoming cold front or heatwave) supporting it?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the dynamic nature of weather forecasts, what core meteorological indicator (e.g., the forecasted high for April 10 crossing a specific threshold 48 hours prior) should be set as a strict stop-loss red line for this market?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the dynamic nature of weather forecasts, what core meteorological indicator (e.g., the forecasted high for April 10 crossing a specific threshold 48 hours prior) should be set as a strict stop-loss red line for this market?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 10?

Weather|$13.3k Vol|

21 hrs 20 mins

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 10? - AI Found +10.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 8 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+10.5¢

22°C(No)

+3.3¢

20°C(Yes)

+1.8¢

24°C(No)

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 10? AI analysis: • +10.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

As April 10 approaches, the accuracy of weather forecasts significantly improves. The market is high...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

22°C

YesNo

44.5¢

55.5¢

34¢

66¢

0¢

+10.5¢

20°C

YesNo

2.75¢

97.25¢

6¢

94¢

+3.3¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

From April 7, 2026 to April 9, 2026, the price of the 23°C option surged from 17.5c to a peak of 44c (now at 38.5c), and the 22°C option surged from 20c to 37c, because weather forecasts for the peak temperature converged much more precisely onto these two core temperatures as the resolution date approached. From April 7, 2026 to April 9, 2026, marginal options like 24°C and 20°C plummeted (e.g., 24°C fell from 13c to 3.5c, 20°C fell from 19.5c to 6c). As forecast uncertainty decreased, intervals deviating from the core forecast were heavily sold off by the market. From April 6, 2026 to April 7, 2026, the price of the 23°C option surged from 19c to 28.5c (peaking at 29.5c), as weather forecasts converged towards this temperature range closer to the date. From April 6, 2026 to April 7, 2026, the price of the 19°C option plummeted from 19c to 5.5c, as forecasts indicated temperatures would be higher than this value. From April 6, 2026 to April 7, 2026, the price of the 25°C option plummeted from 19c to 3.5c, as forecasted temperatures remained below this high range.