AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 6 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
22°C(No)
+3¢
23°C(No)
+1.1¢
26°C(No)
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13? AI analysis: • +4.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market trends and weather model updates, the expected high for Tel Aviv (Ben Gur...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
22°C
YesNo
35.5¢
64.5¢
31¢
69¢
0¢
+4.5¢
23°C
YesNo
46¢
54¢
43¢
57¢
0¢
+3¢
Expand to view all 11 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the daily high temperature for a specific city is relatively niche in the grand scheme but common within certain prediction market communities. Ordinary people check the weather, but rarely place bets on precise temperature ranges.
Movers
April 10 - April 11, 2026, the price of the 23°C option surged from 22c to 46c, and the 22°C option rose from 15.5c to 31.5c, while the 24°C option dropped from 29.5c to 13c. This is due to meteorological models converging as the settlement date approaches, ruling out higher temperatures and focusing market consensus purely on the 22-23°C range.
April 10, 2026, the price of the 25°C option plummeted from 19c to 5.5c. This was caused by updated weekend weather models revising the April 13 high-temperature forecast downwards, heavily discounting the probability of extreme heat.