MO-06 is a solid Republican district in Missouri (Cook PVI R+21). Incumbent Republican Sam Graves ha...

Based on the latest weather forecasts and meteorological models (such as ECMWF and GFS), the maximum...

Predicting the exact highest temperature on a specific day in Istanbul is quite obscure for the general public. Typically, only dedicated weather enthusiasts or prediction market participants would actively research this specific question.

From March 29, 2026, to March 30, 2026, the price of the 17°C option surged from 7.5c to 32.5c, and the 16°C option climbed from 17.5c to 32c, as new weather models indicated potential afternoon clearing leading to higher expected peak temperatures. On March 29, 2026, the 15°C option jumped from 12c to 27.5c due to upward revisions of earlier, cooler forecasts.

With only about 8.5 hours left until settlement, the market is finalizing the pricing for the highes...

March 31, 2026 - April 1, 2026, the price of '8°C' surged from 1.15c to 15.6c, and the price of '9°C' surged from 6.3c to 16.95c. The reason is that approaching settlement, weather models show the high temperature might be lower than previously expected, concentrating in the 8-11°C range. March 31, 2026 - April 1, 2026, the price of '13°C' plummeted from 21c to 7.5c, and the price of '14°C or higher' plummeted from 11c to 3.25c. The reason is that with the advance of the cold air, the possibility of midnight temperatures staying above 13°C is negligible. March 30, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the price of '14°C or higher' plummeted from 54c to 12c. The reason is updated short-range weather models indicating a faster progression of the cold front, making it unlikely for the midnight temperature on April 1 to hold at or above 14°C. March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the prices of '11°C' and '10°C' steadily increased as forecasts further confirmed the high probability of the midnight temperature falling within this range.

With only two days until April 2, weather forecasts are highly certain. Current meteorological data ...

Although weather derivatives exist in niche financial circles, betting on the specific high temperature of a particular city on a single day is relatively obscure and mundane, lacking broad social engagement and conversational appeal.

March 30, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the price of the 29°C option surged from 0.055c to 0.235c, as weather forecasting models adjusted high-temperature expectations upwards as the date approached, making 29°C a strong contender. March 30, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the price of the 23°C or below option plummeted from 0.0795c to 0.0035c, because short-term weather forecasts ruled out the possibility of extreme low temperatures.

Current prediction market prices show that the market is mainly concentrated in the 13°C, 14°C, and ...

Predicting the exact highest temperature of a specific city on a single day is a typical weather prediction market. While people check weather daily, trading on specific degree ranges is somewhat niche and mostly appeals to weather enthusiasts or local residents.

2026-03-30 to 2026-03-31, the price of '16°C or higher' plummeted from 41.5c to 14.5c because weather forecasts ruled out the possibility of unusually high temperatures as the date approached. 2026-03-29 to 2026-03-30, the price of '11°C' spiked from 17.5c to 31.5c before falling back to 2.9c, due to short-term weather forecast fluctuations causing temporary shifts in market expectations. 2026-03-29 to 2026-03-30, the price of '10°C' plummeted from 17.5c to 1.45c as weather forecasts gradually confirmed that the temperature would be higher than this range on that day.