Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 7?
Weather|$11.2k Vol|
time1 days 16 hrs

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 7? - AI Found +40¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 13 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+40¢
24°C or higher(No)
+26.5¢
22°C(Yes)
+11.5¢
23°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 7? AI analysis: • +40¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Current weather forecasts (as of May 5, 2026) for Tokyo (Haneda Airport - RJTT) on May 7 predict a h...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final
Sports|$1.0m Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
Atlético Madrid(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
6¢
Arbitrage
1128.8%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Direct Arb
Arbitrage Plan: Buy 'No' shares for all four teams. Total cost is 194 ¢. Since exactly two teams will be eliminated in the semi-finals, there will be at least two 'No' resolutions (four if the tournament is cancelled), guaranteeing a minimum payout of 200 ¢. Plan Description: Given the Champions League format, exactly two of the four semi-finalists will be eliminated, meanin...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
Current market pricing is highly efficient and stable. Based on implied probabilities, Arsenal holds...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6?
Weather|$13.1k Vol|
time16 hrs 7 mins

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6?

Top Undervalued
+20¢
22°C(No)
+10.6¢
20°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport ...
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Exotics
Predicting the specific highest temperature of a particular city on a given day is a standard weather contract in prediction markets. However, for the general public, unless they have local travel plans, they rarely think about this, making it a somewhat niche and novelty question.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
24°C or higher
YesNo
70¢
30¢
30¢
70¢
+40¢
22°C
YesNo
6.5¢
93.5¢
33¢
67¢
+26.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the daily high temperature for a specific city is a typical niche weather derivative market. Unless one is a meteorology enthusiast or professional weather trader, the general public rarely thinks about this, giving it a moderate novelty factor.
Movers
Between 05:13 and 06:18 on May 5, 2026, the price of the '22°C' option surged from 21.5c to 32.5c, while the '21°C' option plummeted from 17.5c to 3.55c. This was caused by the latest weather forecast models adjusting the expected high temperatures for May 7 upwards as the date approaches, effectively ruling out lower temperatures (21°C and below) and concentrating expectations in the 22°C and above range.

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