Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 10?
Weather|$11.5k Vol|
time1 days 8 hrs

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 10? - AI Found +11¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.07 21:39
Top Undervalued
+11¢
27°C(No)
+7.5¢
26°C(No)
+4.5¢
28°C or higher(No)

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 10? AI analysis: • +11¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecast models have been updated as the date approaches, indicating a warmer trend f...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Culture|$113.9k Vol|
time265 days 20 hrs

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Top Undervalued
+5.5¢
Frank Ocean(No)
+5¢
Future(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Mariah Carey remains the safest bet at 90c due to the almost guaranteed #1 spot for 'All I Want For ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 5, 2026 - April 8, 2026, Luke Combs's price steadily climbed from 34.5c to 43.5c, likely due to a new release or announcement of an upcoming single generating positive market expectations. April 5, 2026 - April 8, 2026, SZA's price dropped from 51c to 39c, potentially because a recent release underperformed on the charts or a planned release was delayed. April 7, 2026 - April 8, 2026, Ariana Grande's price rebounded from 71c to 83c, indicating that her new single's momentum remains strong enough to challenge for the #1 spot after a brief dip. March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, Ariana Grande's price surged from 53c to 81c. Reasoning: She highly likely released a dominant new single with explosive streaming metrics, leading the market to quickly price her as a lock for an upcoming #1 debut. March 29, 2026 - April 1, 2026, SZA and Sabrina Carpenter experienced high volatility, with SZA dropping from 47c to 39.5c, rebounding to 50.5c, and falling again. Reasoning: Likely due to delayed release schedules or losing streaming momentum against heavyweight competitors like Ariana. March 23, 2026 - March 26, 2026, Ariana Grande's price surged from 47c to 63c before settling at 60c. Reasoning: She likely released a highly anticipated new single or high-profile remix with explosive streaming numbers. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, Post Malone's price crashed from 52.5c to 38c. Reasoning: His recent single likely suffered a steep drop in streaming retention. March 20, 2026 - March 22, 2026, SZA's price rose from 39.5c to 50.5c. Reasoning: Teasers or a new release generated significant hype. March 14, 2026 - March 15, 2026, Olivia Rodrigo skyrocketed from 50c to 86c, and A$AP Rocky surged from 24.5c to 47c. Reasoning: Rodrigo likely released a dominant surprise single; Rocky's surge implies a viral moment or confirmed feature. March 13, 2026 - March 15, 2026, Ariana Grande dropped from 51c to 43.5c, and Jack Harlow fell to 21.5c. Reasoning: Rodrigo's return sucked the oxygen out of the room. March 12, 2026 - March 15, 2026, Post Malone climbed steadily from 38c to 57.5c, indicating his latest release was gaining significant traction.
AI Analysis
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Trump|$222.4k Vol|
time5 days 20 hrs

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
6¢
Arbitrage
422%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Low Risk
Arbitrage Plan: Buy Option_'No' at 93.5 cents Plan Description: Buying 'No' at 93.5 cents to receive a 100 cents payout in less than 6 days yields a return of about...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 6 days remaining until the April 15 expiration, the probability of Trump publicly pra...
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Rule Risk
The rules explicitly exclude 'polite diplomatic language' and require a clear 'positive evaluation' (e.g., praise, respect). This subjective distinction could easily lead to resolution disputes if Trump makes ambiguous or merely courteous remarks.
Exotics
This topic is highly absurd and extremely niche. Given Trump's typical political rhetoric, almost no one would forecast whether he would praise Allah before seeing this market. It is a pure novelty and meme market.
Movers
April 7, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plunged from 21.5c to 5.0c, and subsequently fluctuated between 6c and 11.5c. The reason is that as the expiration date rapidly approaches, market expectations for this highly unlikely event cooled down, with speculative profit-taking and repricing driving the sharp drop.
AI Analysis
Bank of Korea decision in April?
Economy|$75.6k Vol|
time20 hrs 2 mins

Bank of Korea decision in April?

Top Undervalued
+0.7¢
No Change(Yes)
+0.3¢
Increase(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 1 day remaining until the Bank of Korea's April 10 monetary policy meeting, market ex...
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Hedging
KRW=X
EWY
The Bank of Korea's interest rate decision directly impacts the Korean Won (KRW) and the Korean equity market (e.g., EWY ETF). An unexpected hike or cut would cause volatility in the KRW exchange rate and significantly affect the valuation of Korea's export-oriented companies. While it serves as a liquidity bellwether for Asia, its impact on global majors like the S&P 500 is relatively contained.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 9?
Weather|$76.4k Vol|
time8 hrs 2 mins

Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 9?

Top Undervalued
+1.2¢
23°C or higher(Yes)
+0.7¢
20°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than a day left until the April 9 settlement, weather forecasts are highly accurate and vi...
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Movers
April 6, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the price of the '23°C or higher' option further climbed from 82c to 95c. The reason is that with only one day left until settlement, weather forecasts have fully locked in the high-temperature trend, ruling out any possibility of a significant drop. April 5, 2026 - April 6, 2026, the price of the '23°C or higher' option surged from 31c to 82c. This is because, as the date approached, the accuracy of weather forecasts significantly improved, confirming that the high temperature would easily exceed 23°C. April 5, 2026 - April 6, 2026, the 'Yes' prices for lower temperature options like '14°C', '16°C', '17°C', '18°C', '19°C', '20°C', '21°C', and '22°C' all dropped significantly (by more than 10c). This is due to weather forecasts ruling out the possibility of extreme low temperatures.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
27°C
YesNo
18¢
82¢
93¢
+11¢
26°C
YesNo
31.5¢
68.5¢
24¢
76¢
+7.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the exact high temperature of a specific city on a single day is relatively niche. Although weather derivatives exist professionally, it remains a moderately novel and uncommon topic for general prediction market participants.
Movers
April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026: The price of the 26°C option surged from 10.5c to 29.5c, and the 25°C option rose from 15.5c to 27c. This was driven by updated near-term weather models projecting higher expected temperatures. April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026: The price of the 22°C option plummeted from 25.5c to 5.5c, and the 23°C option dropped from 29.5c to 10.5c, as the probability of lower temperature ranges decreased significantly due to the confirmed warming trend.

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