Predicting the exact number of tweets by Iran's Supreme Leader in a specific week is highly niche and trivial. Aside from hardcore prediction market participants, the general public or political analysts rarely quantify this metric, making it quite a novelty market.

April 26, 2026 - April 27, 2026: The price of the '<5' option slightly retraced from 92c to 82c, while '10-14' rebounded from 0.3c to 9.75c, likely due to a minor burst of posts near expiration or market hedging against potential posts in the remaining hours. April 24, 2026 - April 25, 2026: The price of the '<5' option surged from 45c to 70c, and '10-14' plummeted from 23.5c to 3.5c. This occurred because, as time elapsed, the actual tracker data showed an extremely low number of tweets from Khamenei, solidifying the lowest frequency options as the clear consensus. April 21, 2026 - April 23, 2026: Several options (e.g., 10-14, 15-19, 30-34) experienced massive volatility, with '30-34' crashing from 49.4c to 4.6c and '<5' dropping from 52c to 26c. This was caused by initial overcrowding in long positions based on Middle East tensions; as time passed and the actual post count failed to keep up with speculative expectations, bulls engaged in panic selling. April 20, 2026 - April 21, 2026: The price of the 40-44 option surged from 20.5c to 31.5c, and the 55-59 option jumped from 18.9c to 33.8c. This was driven by irrational buying pressure speculating that the geopolitical situation might lead to a frantic tweeting spree by Khamenei over the coming week. April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026: The price of the 40-44 option spiked from 5c to 23.9c, caused by speculative expectations of intensive official Iranian statements amid Middle East tensions.