Lowest temperature in London on April 26?
Weather|$11.2k Vol|
time6 hrs 50 mins

Lowest temperature in London on April 26? - AI Found +21.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 1 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+21.5¢
8°C(No)
+15.5¢
7°C(Yes)
+2¢
6°C(No)

Lowest temperature in London on April 26? AI analysis: • +21.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
It is already the early hours of April 26 in London, meaning the overnight low temperature is essent...
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Lowest temperature in NYC on April 26?
Weather|$31.8k Vol|
time6 hrs 50 mins

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 26?

Top Undervalued
+10.5¢
40-41°F(No)
+7.5¢
42-43°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the lowest temperature for New York (LaGuardia Airport) on Ap...
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Movers
April 25, 2026 - April 26, 2026: The price of '42-43°F' surged from 36.5c to 56c, and '40-41°F' climbed from 22.5c to 32.5c. This occurred because, as the resolution date approaches, updated weather models narrowed the forecasted minimum temperature to the 40-42°F range. April 24, 2026 - April 25, 2026: The price of '44-45°F' plummeted from 33.5c to 4.5c, and '38-39°F' dropped from 18c to 6.5c. As the forecast certainty improved, the market quickly priced out these upper and lower tail risks.
AI Analysis
Lowest temperature in Paris on April 26?
Weather|$15.5k Vol|
time6 hrs 50 mins

Lowest temperature in Paris on April 26?

Top Undervalued
+44.5¢
6°C(No)
+18¢
5°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As it is early morning on April 26, the sharp price movements (plunging Yes prices for 7°C and 8°C, ...
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Exotics
Predicting the specific lowest temperature at a city's weather station on a given day is a relatively niche and novel topic. Outside of meteorology enthusiasts, average people generally would not think about such granular daily weather data before seeing this market.
Movers
April 25, 2026 - April 26, 2026, the Yes price for 8°C plummeted from 30.5c to 2c, and 7°C dropped from 30.5c to 7c, because the actual temperature during the early hours of the day already fell below 7°C. April 25, 2026 - April 26, 2026, the Yes price for 6°C surged from 21.5c to 43.5c, as the dropping temperature made this bucket the most likely outcome for the daily low.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
8°C
YesNo
70.5¢
29.5¢
49¢
51¢
+21.5¢
7°C
YesNo
23.5¢
76.5¢
39¢
61¢
+15.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the lowest temperature in a specific city on a specific day is a relatively niche prediction market. While weather forecasts are common, ordinary people rarely try to predict the exact integer temperature at a specific weather station.
Movers
April 25, 2026 - April 26, 2026: The price of 8°C surged from 28c to 49c, while 6°C plummeted from 26.5c to 7.5c. This occurred because as the early hours of the 26th approached, real-time meteorological data eliminated the likelihood of lower temperatures, solidifying the 7-8°C consensus. April 25, 2026: The price of 5°C briefly spiked from 3.95c to 28.75c before crashing back below 1.5c, likely due to short-term speculative trading or a temporary anomaly in weather forecast models.

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