Lowest temperature in NYC on April 25?
Weather|$11.3k Vol|
time8 hrs 45 mins

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 25? - AI Found +24.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 14 minutes ago
Top Undervalued
+24.5¢
40-41°F(Yes)
+12¢
46-47°F(No)
+10.5¢
44-45°F(No)

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 25? AI analysis: • +24.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather and AccuWeather), the lowest temperature...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Lowest temperature in Paris on April 25?
Weather|$13.2k Vol|
time8 hrs 45 mins

Lowest temperature in Paris on April 25?

Top Undervalued
+8.9¢
8°C(Yes)
+4.5¢
6°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest METAR data (as of 2 AM local time, the temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport i...
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Movers
April 23, 2026 - April 24, 2026, the price of the 6°C option surged from 15.5c to 38.5c, as updated forecasts narrowed the expected low temperature to this specific range as the date approached. April 23, 2026 - April 24, 2026, the price of the 3°C option plummeted from 25c to around 1.1c, as the latest weather data completely ruled out the possibility of such extreme cold.
AI Analysis
Verify the current update status of the Wunderground Paris-Le Bourget (LFPB) station—is there any risk of data delays, rounding rule disputes, or update failures on April 25?
Lowest temperature in Miami on April 25?
Weather|$40.5k Vol|
time8 hrs 45 mins

Lowest temperature in Miami on April 25?

Top Undervalued
+15¢
70-71°F(No)
+7.5¢
68-69°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market pricing, the 68-69°F, 70-71°F, and 72-73°F ranges are currently the most ...
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Movers
April 23, 2026 - April 25, 2026, the price of the '70-71°F' option rose from 26c to a peak of 41c before falling to 19.5c, due to minor adjustments in weather forecasts altering expectations. April 23, 2026 - April 25, 2026, the price of the '66-67°F' option dropped from 26c to 6c, as the market heavily discounted the likelihood of temperatures dropping below 68°F closer to settlement. April 23, 2026 - April 24, 2026, the price of the '74-75°F' option plummeted from 26c to 3c, due to a significant downward shift in the expected minimum temperature.
AI Analysis
Based on historical weather records for Miami on April 25th, what is the statistical frequency of the lowest temperature falling into the current option brackets (e.g., 74-75°F or 68-69°F) over the past decade?
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Earnings|$18.9k Vol|
time4 days 17 hrs

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market price indicates Option 'Yes' is trading at 0.94, showing extreme market optimism ...
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Hedging
Nasdaq 100
AMZN
As a core tech giant, Amazon's earnings results will directly cause significant volatility in its stock (AMZN), typically moving 5-10%. Additionally, given its massive weighting in the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500, an earnings beat or miss creates a direct impact and directional catalyst for the tech sector and broader market sentiment.
Movers
April 21, 2026 - April 23, 2026: The price of Option 'Yes' steadily climbed from 84c to a peak of 94.5c, a 10.5c increase. This upward momentum is primarily driven by growing market confidence in big tech earnings beats as the reporting date approaches, prompting an influx of bullish bets.
AI Analysis
What are the exact conditions for this market to resolve as 'Yes', and how does the $1.65 GAAP EPS target apply to Amazon's upcoming earnings?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 25?
Weather|$23.4k Vol|
time8 hrs 45 mins

Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 25?

Top Undervalued
+2.3¢
9°C(Yes)
+1¢
8°C or below(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather data and real-time observations, the lowest temperature at Incheon Inter...
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Rule Risk
There is a notable risk: the title asks for 'Seoul', but the rules strictly specify data from the 'Incheon Intl Airport' (RKSI) weather station. Incheon is coastal and its temperatures often differ from downtown Seoul, creating a trap for those who only read the title.
Movers
2026-04-24 to 2026-04-25, the price of 9°C surged from around 26c to 97.5c. This occurred because, as the resolution date approached, actual meteorological observations locked in this temperature range. 2026-04-24 to 2026-04-25, the price of 8°C or below plummeted from 30c to 1.6c, as observational data ruled out the possibility of the temperature dropping to 8°C or lower.
AI Analysis
Based on the resolution rules, when exactly is the lowest temperature data for April 25 at the Incheon Intl Airport Station (RKSI) on Wunderground considered finalized, and are there any risks of delayed data updates?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
40-41°F
YesNo
10.5¢
89.5¢
35¢
65¢
+24.5¢
0¢
46-47°F
YesNo
17¢
83¢
5¢
95¢
0¢
+12¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 24, 2026 - April 25, 2026, the price of the '46-47°F' option plummeted from 34.5c to 11c because, as the resolution date approached, forecasts confirmed a cold front and rain, indicating lows well below this range. April 24, 2026, the price of the '42-43°F' option surged from 16c to 35.5c, as weather models solidified the expected temperature drop, making it a highly likely outcome. April 23, 2026, the price of the '44-45°F' option climbed from 13.5c to 36c, as earlier forecasts briefly suggested lows in this range before dropping again as the colder front was confirmed.

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