May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026, the 95+ option's price plummeted from 74c to 22.5c, likely because new reviews pushed the freshness score below 95%. May 4, 2026 - May 5, 2026, the Yes prices for all tiers (e.g., 65+, 75+, 85+) experienced massive surges. For instance, 85+ skyrocketed from 48.5c to over 90c. The reason is the release of the film's early Rotten Tomatoes score after the embargo lifted, landing at a stellar 94%-97%, vastly boosting market confidence.

May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026: The prices of Sung-Jae Im, Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Thomas, and Alex Fitzpatrick surged significantly (e.g., Sung-Jae Im spiked from 2c to 62c) because they posted excellent scores in the first and second rounds, taking the top spots on the live leaderboard. May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026: Rory McIlroy's price dropped sharply from 44.5c to 15c before rebounding to over 48c, as he had a sluggish opening round (trailing by 7 shots) but bounced back strongly with a 67 in Round 2 to move into the top 10. May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026: Cameron Young's price surged from 30c to a peak of 67c, reflecting strong early performance and good form in the tournament.

May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026, the price of the 26°C option surged from 2.6c to 22.45c, driven by short-term forecast models slightly raising the potential high-temperature ceiling as the resolution date approached. May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026, the price of the 25°C option surged from 13c to 31.5c, also influenced by short-term weather forecast fluctuations leaning towards warmer outcomes. May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026, the price of the 24°C option rose from 21.5c to 34c, as meteorological consensus increasingly locked into the 24°C range as the target date drew near.

Betting on the exact highest temperature of a specific city on a single day is a niche, everyday topic. While it may seem obscure to the general public, weather markets have become relatively standard within prediction platforms.

On May 8, 2026, the '72°F or higher' option surged from 44c to 53.5c due to updated meteorological models confirming a warming trend for the weekend, with the NWS forecasting a high of 77°F. On May 8, 2026, the '66-67°F' and '64-65°F' options both plummeted (from 17.5c to 11c, and 17c to 9.5c, respectively) as previous cooler forecasts were overridden by clear, warmer expectations.