Search the latest reliable meteorological models (e.g., GFS, ECMWF) to get the most authoritative minimum temperature forecast for Paris-Le Bourget Airport (LFPB) on May 13, 2026.

AI-powered analysis for: Search the latest reliable meteorological models (e.g., GFS, ECMWF) to get the most authoritative minimum temperature forecast for Paris-Le Bourget Airport (LFPB) on May 13, 2026.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Explain the whole-degree Celsius rounding rules and the specific Wunderground resolution criteria for this market using the simplest language (ELI5).

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the whole-degree Celsius rounding rules and the specific Wunderground resolution criteria for this market using the simplest language (ELI5).. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Verify the update schedule for Paris-Le Bourget (LFPB) data on Wunderground to confirm exactly when the May 13th data is considered 'finalized'.

AI-powered analysis for: Verify the update schedule for Paris-Le Bourget (LFPB) data on Wunderground to confirm exactly when the May 13th data is considered 'finalized'.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Compare the implied probabilities of the temperature brackets on Polymarket with official forecasts from Météo-France to identify any odds discrepancies.

AI-powered analysis for: Compare the implied probabilities of the temperature brackets on Polymarket with official forecasts from Météo-France to identify any odds discrepancies.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Check the historical average lowest temperature in Paris for May 13 over the past few years to establish a baseline reference.

AI-powered analysis for: Check the historical average lowest temperature in Paris for May 13 over the past few years to establish a baseline reference.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search community history for past disputes regarding Wunderground whole-degree rounding or weather station data outages and their final rulings.

AI-powered analysis for: Search community history for past disputes regarding Wunderground whole-degree rounding or weather station data outages and their final rulings.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Deliberately search for extreme weather warnings that could cause a sudden temperature drop or rise in Paris in the next 48 hours, listing 3 arguments against the consensus forecast.

AI-powered analysis for: Deliberately search for extreme weather warnings that could cause a sudden temperature drop or rise in Paris in the next 48 hours, listing 3 arguments against the consensus forecast.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Analyze the historical accuracy and typical margin of error for 48-hour minimum temperature forecasts in Paris (randomness vs. predictability).

AI-powered analysis for: Analyze the historical accuracy and typical margin of error for 48-hour minimum temperature forecasts in Paris (randomness vs. predictability).. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What is the absolute lowest temperature forecasted by major weather models for Paris on May 13, and could it touch the extreme '3°C or below' option?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the absolute lowest temperature forecasted by major weather models for Paris on May 13, and could it touch the extreme '3°C or below' option?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Since May 13 is less than 48 hours away, analyze how the rapidly decreasing forecast uncertainty affects the time decay (Theta) of outlier temperature options.

AI-powered analysis for: Since May 13 is less than 48 hours away, analyze how the rapidly decreasing forecast uncertainty affects the time decay (Theta) of outlier temperature options.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the current low volume of $549, assess the order book depth and slippage risk for a $100 trade across the multiple temperature options.

AI-powered analysis for: Given the current low volume of $549, assess the order book depth and slippage risk for a $100 trade across the multiple temperature options.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Qualitatively analyze the risk-reward: Is it better to pick up pennies on the consensus forecast bracket, or buy a 'lottery ticket' on adjacent temperature options?

AI-powered analysis for: Qualitatively analyze the risk-reward: Is it better to pick up pennies on the consensus forecast bracket, or buy a 'lottery ticket' on adjacent temperature options?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Identify potential catalysts (e.g., sudden changes in cloud cover or cold fronts in the Île-de-France region) that could drastically alter the temperature forecast in the next 48 hours.

AI-powered analysis for: Identify potential catalysts (e.g., sudden changes in cloud cover or cold fronts in the Île-de-France region) that could drastically alter the temperature forecast in the next 48 hours.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Look for other highly correlated weather prediction markets (e.g., London temperatures) on the platform and suggest constructing a regional weather combo bet.

AI-powered analysis for: Look for other highly correlated weather prediction markets (e.g., London temperatures) on the platform and suggest constructing a regional weather combo bet.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Recommend 3 high-quality meteorology Twitter accounts or advanced weather model websites for accurately tracking the Paris-Le Bourget (LFPB) microclimate.

AI-powered analysis for: Recommend 3 high-quality meteorology Twitter accounts or advanced weather model websites for accurately tracking the Paris-Le Bourget (LFPB) microclimate.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the current bid-ask spread and your preferred weather model's fair value, suggest an optimal limit order price for a specific temperature bracket.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the current bid-ask spread and your preferred weather model's fair value, suggest an optimal limit order price for a specific temperature bracket.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Provide guidance on placing 'Stink Bids' on extreme outlier options (e.g., 13°C or higher) to catch potential panic selling if the weather forecast shifts suddenly.

AI-powered analysis for: Provide guidance on placing 'Stink Bids' on extreme outlier options (e.g., 13°C or higher) to catch potential panic selling if the weather forecast shifts suddenly.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Set a strict stop-loss red line based on the actual hourly temperature drop trend observed at the Paris-Le Bourget station on the evening of May 12.

AI-powered analysis for: Set a strict stop-loss red line based on the actual hourly temperature drop trend observed at the Paris-Le Bourget station on the evening of May 12.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on your confidence level in a specific temperature bracket (e.g., 8°C), suggest a portfolio allocation percentage using the Kelly criterion.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on your confidence level in a specific temperature bracket (e.g., 8°C), suggest a portfolio allocation percentage using the Kelly criterion.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Generate a brief one-page trading plan including entry rationale based on weather models, target temperature brackets, and specific invalidation conditions.

AI-powered analysis for: Generate a brief one-page trading plan including entry rationale based on weather models, target temperature brackets, and specific invalidation conditions.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 13?

Weather|$10.9k Vol|

4 hrs 44 mins

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 13? - AI Found +19.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.12 08:56

Top Undervalued

+19.5¢

8°C(Yes)

+12¢

9°C(No)

+11.5¢

10°C(No)

Lowest temperature in Paris on May 13? AI analysis: • +19.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

According to the latest weather forecasts, the lowest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget on May 13, 202...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

8°C

YesNo

12.5¢

87.5¢

32¢

68¢

+19.5¢

0¢

9°C

YesNo

44¢

56¢

32¢

68¢

0¢

+12¢

Expand to view all 8 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

May 11, 2026 - May 12, 2026, the prices of several outlier temperature options (e.g., 6°C, 7°C, and 11°C) experienced severe fluctuations of more than 10 cents. Notably, the 11°C option plummeted from 24c to under 3c, and the 6°C option similarly dropped from 24c to below 4c. This occurred because, as the target date approached, weather forecast models converged on a narrower temperature range of 8°C-9°C, effectively pricing out the extreme values.