Search historical Wunderground data for Shanghai Pudong Airport (ZSPD) to calculate the actual frequency of the lowest temperature falling into each option's range on May 13th over the past five years.

AI-powered analysis for: Search historical Wunderground data for Shanghai Pudong Airport (ZSPD) to calculate the actual frequency of the lowest temperature falling into each option's range on May 13th over the past five years.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Explain the resolution rules of this Shanghai temperature market using the simplest language, specifically focusing on Wunderground's finalized data and the Celsius whole-degree rounding rules.

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution rules of this Shanghai temperature market using the simplest language, specifically focusing on Wunderground's finalized data and the Celsius whole-degree rounding rules.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Verify the data update status of the Wunderground Shanghai Pudong Airport (ZSPD) station to confirm if there is a risk of missing data or it 'stopping updates', which could prevent resolution.

AI-powered analysis for: Verify the data update status of the Wunderground Shanghai Pudong Airport (ZSPD) station to confirm if there is a risk of missing data or it 'stopping updates', which could prevent resolution.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search community history for similar rule disputes regarding Wunderground timezone differences or Fahrenheit/Celsius conversion rounding, and how they were ultimately ruled.

AI-powered analysis for: Search community history for similar rule disputes regarding Wunderground timezone differences or Fahrenheit/Celsius conversion rounding, and how they were ultimately ruled.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Confirm critical meteorological variables affecting Shanghai's temperature on May 13, such as incoming cold fronts, rain probability, or cloud cover changes.

AI-powered analysis for: Confirm critical meteorological variables affecting Shanghai's temperature on May 13, such as incoming cold fronts, rain probability, or cloud cover changes.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Translate the abstract odds of the '18°C' bucket into an intuitive probability metaphor (e.g., 'The market thinks this temperature is as likely as flipping a coin heads twice in a row').

AI-powered analysis for: Translate the abstract odds of the '18°C' bucket into an intuitive probability metaphor (e.g., 'The market thinks this temperature is as likely as flipping a coin heads twice in a row').. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Determine whether the recent odds shifts across temperature buckets are driven by the latest ECMWF/GFS weather model updates (news) or by whale capital (funds).

AI-powered analysis for: Determine whether the recent odds shifts across temperature buckets are driven by the latest ECMWF/GFS weather model updates (news) or by whale capital (funds).. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

List potential catalysts that could cause volatility in the option prices within the next 48 hours, such as the 00Z/12Z update runs of major weather models.

AI-powered analysis for: List potential catalysts that could cause volatility in the option prices within the next 48 hours, such as the 00Z/12Z update runs of major weather models.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Analyze whether predicting the ZSPD temperature on May 13 is currently purely random (due to long-range uncertainty) or if it follows predictable meteorological logic.

AI-powered analysis for: Analyze whether predicting the ZSPD temperature on May 13 is currently purely random (due to long-range uncertainty) or if it follows predictable meteorological logic.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Analyze which temperature bucket (Yes/No) benefits more from time decay (Theta) as May 13 approaches, assuming current weather forecasts remain unchanged.

AI-powered analysis for: Analyze which temperature bucket (Yes/No) benefits more from time decay (Theta) as May 13 approaches, assuming current weather forecasts remain unchanged.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the market's current low volume of $175, qualitatively assess the slippage risk for a $1,000 capital entry/exit based on the bid/ask spread and depth.

AI-powered analysis for: Given the market's current low volume of $175, qualitatively assess the slippage risk for a $1,000 capital entry/exit based on the bid/ask spread and depth.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Extract discussions from the Polymarket comment section or Discord to summarize the market's core disagreement regarding discrepancies between Wunderground data and local Chinese weather forecasts.

AI-powered analysis for: Extract discussions from the Polymarket comment section or Discord to summarize the market's core disagreement regarding discrepancies between Wunderground data and local Chinese weather forecasts.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search for historical similar mid-May weather patterns in Shanghai to compare if the current odds for temperature buckets match historical fractals.

AI-powered analysis for: Search for historical similar mid-May weather patterns in Shanghai to compare if the current odds for temperature buckets match historical fractals.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Logically project the bottom support price for the '24°C or higher' option if the worst-case scenario (a sudden extreme cold wave) occurs.

AI-powered analysis for: Logically project the bottom support price for the '24°C or higher' option if the worst-case scenario (a sudden extreme cold wave) occurs.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Assuming a $1000 investment in the '19°C' bucket, calculate the actual ROI after deducting estimated Gas fees and deposit/withdrawal slippage.

AI-powered analysis for: Assuming a $1000 investment in the '19°C' bucket, calculate the actual ROI after deducting estimated Gas fees and deposit/withdrawal slippage.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Suggest a core fundamental indicator as a stop-loss red line (e.g., if the GFS model forecast drops below 15°C) that dictates an immediate stop-loss for a '20°C' long position.

AI-powered analysis for: Suggest a core fundamental indicator as a stop-loss red line (e.g., if the GFS model forecast drops below 15°C) that dictates an immediate stop-loss for a '20°C' long position.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Provide guidance on placing extremely low bids (Stink Bids) in the deep order book for the low-probability, extreme weather '14°C or below' bucket to catch panic selling.

AI-powered analysis for: Provide guidance on placing extremely low bids (Stink Bids) in the deep order book for the low-probability, extreme weather '14°C or below' bucket to catch panic selling.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the current bid-ask spread and weather forecast fair value, suggest an optimal limit order price for the most likely temperature bucket that is easy to fill without losing edge.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the current bid-ask spread and weather forecast fair value, suggest an optimal limit order price for the most likely temperature bucket that is easy to fill without losing edge.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the user's confidence level in the stability of recent weather forecasting models (e.g., ECMWF), suggest a portfolio allocation percentage using the Kelly criterion.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the user's confidence level in the stability of recent weather forecasting models (e.g., ECMWF), suggest a portfolio allocation percentage using the Kelly criterion.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Recommend 3 high-quality Twitter accounts or professional meteorological platforms (like ECMWF, GFS) dedicated to analyzing and tracking precise weather forecasts for Shanghai.

AI-powered analysis for: Recommend 3 high-quality Twitter accounts or professional meteorological platforms (like ECMWF, GFS) dedicated to analyzing and tracking precise weather forecasts for Shanghai.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 13?

Weather|$10.5k Vol|

11 hrs 54 mins

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 13? - AI Found +52.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.12 09:59

Top Undervalued

+52.5¢

19°C(No)

+16¢

18°C(Yes)

+9.6¢

17°C(Yes)

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 13? AI analysis: • +52.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Latest weather forecasts indicate that the low temperature in Shanghai (including Pudong Internation...

🔓 Log in to see more

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

19°C

YesNo

92.5¢

7.5¢

40¢

60¢

0¢

+52.5¢

18°C

YesNo

9¢

91¢

25¢

75¢

+16¢

0¢

Expand to view all 6 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

May 11, 2026 - May 12, 2026, the price of the 19°C option surged from around 30c to a peak of 48c, as updated meteorological data strongly favored this range for the overnight low. May 11, 2026 - May 12, 2026, the 21°C option plummeted from 28.4c to under 1c, the 17°C option dropped from 22c to 8.5c, and the 20°C option declined from 27c to 15.5c. This indicates that as the target date approaches, the market is pricing out tail-end risks and rapidly converging on the 18°C-19°C consensus.