While the FDV calculation rules are clear (Total Supply * Price), there are several potential risks: 1. Name collisions with scam tokens could confuse data sources if the 'Makina' identity isn't strictly verified; 2. The definition of 'Launch' relies on public transferability, but initial liquidity pools on DEXs can have extreme volatility, causing massive FDV skews momentarily; 3. The time risk is significant if the project delays beyond 2026 (resolving to 'No'), which might differ from the traders' intent to bet on valuation irrespective of time.

April 28, 2026 - April 29, 2026, the $300M option price spiked dramatically from 3c to 20.75c before quickly retracting, likely due to a short-term liquidity shock triggered by rumored positive news or a large buyer's execution. April 13, 2026 - April 15, 2026, prices across all options experienced minimal volatility (under 1c), with the market remaining in a 'wait-and-see' state pending official project updates. March 25, 2026 - March 31, 2026, prices across all options remained low and range-bound, with the $80M option stable around 11.5c without significant breakouts, indicating continued depressed market sentiment and lack of new catalysts. March 11, 2026 - March 17, 2026, prices across all options stagnated completely, with both the $80M and $100M options hovering around 8.5c and volatility less than 0.5c. This indicates dried-up liquidity and a 'wait-and-see' approach from traders in the absence of new updates. February 20, 2026 - February 26, 2026, prices remained in a low range. The $80M option briefly rallied to 13.5c before retracting to 10c, reflecting insufficient market confidence in the post-exploit recovery.