All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Jeremy Moss
YesNo
Andy Levin
YesNo
Aisha Farooqi
YesNo
Dave Woodward
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.16 15:36 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
With MI-11 being an open seat (Incumbent Haley Stevens running for Senate), Jeremy Moss remains the ...
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Divergence
There is a moderate divergence. Based on the comprehensive establishment endorsements for Jeremy Moss (Fair Value ~90c), the market price (~79c) shows unnecessary hesitation. Meanwhile, Andy Levin, who lost in 2022 and signaled no run, is priced at 10c, significantly above his fundamental probability (<5c). This reflects a market inertia overvaluing 'name-brand' potential rather than current political reality.
