MLB: AL Manager of the Year
baseball|$30.2k Vol|
time221 days 17 hrs

MLB: AL Manager of the Year - AI Found +21.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.27 09:06
Top Undervalued
+21.5¢
Kevin Cash(No)
+12.5¢
Mark Kotsay(No)
+8.5¢
Derek Shelton(No)

MLB: AL Manager of the Year AI analysis: • +21.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The 2026 AL Manager of the Year race is open. Currently, prices are highly irrational, hovering arou...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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MLB: Outstanding DH Winner
baseball|$12.8k Vol|
time221 days 17 hrs

MLB: Outstanding DH Winner

Top Undervalued
+35¢
Shohei Ohtani(Yes)
+13¢
Yordan Alvarez(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Shohei Ohtani remains the overwhelming favorite for the DH award due to his historical dominance at ...
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Divergence
There is a severe divergence between market-implied probabilities and basic mathematical logic. As a single-winner market, the sum of all candidates' winning probabilities should not exceed 100%. However, all 23 players' 'Yes' prices are trading at around 40%, creating a cumulative implied probability of over 900%. This completely contradicts any mainstream forecast and basic laws of probability, clearly pointing to a systemic distortion caused by extreme illiquidity or a platform mechanism anomaly.
AI Analysis
Pro Baseball: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals
Sports|$73.3k Vol|
time146 days 21 hrs

Pro Baseball: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals

Top Undervalued
+35¢
New York Yankees(U 86.5)
+30.5¢
San Francisco Giants(O 82.5)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Due to the absence of specific 'Listed Number of Wins' for each team and all current prices being N/...
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AI Analysis
MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner
baseball|$13.5k Vol|
time221 days 17 hrs

MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner

Top Undervalued
+32¢
Ceddanne Rafaela(No)
+10.5¢
Nathaniel Lowe(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The market is currently in a state of extreme irrationality, with the sum of 'Yes' probabilities for...
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Divergence
The market implies that over a dozen players each have a ~40% chance of winning the award, adding up to over 800% probability. This is mathematically impossible and completely contradicts reality and mainstream sports expert consensus, which requires the total probability to be 100%.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Kevin Cash
YesNo
29.5¢
70.5¢
92¢
+21.5¢
Mark Kotsay
YesNo
15.5¢
84.5¢
97¢
+12.5¢

Expand to view all 15 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 25, 2026 - April 26, 2026: The 'Yes' prices for almost all options (e.g., Aaron Boone, Joe Espada, Derek Shelton, Kurt Suzuki) spiked again from 33c to 44c. This was caused by extreme illiquidity and irrational sweeping of the order book, further distorting the market pricing. April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026: The 'Yes' prices for almost all options (e.g., Aaron Boone, A.J. Hinch, John Schneider, Mark Kotsay) spiked massively from the 10-15c range up to 43-44c. The reason is extreme illiquidity combined with indiscriminate buying (likely a fat-finger or irrational sweeping of the order book), which severely distorted the entire market's pricing.
Divergence
The implied probabilities from the market prices sum up to over 550%, which severely contradicts the fundamental reality that there can only be one winner. This is purely an anomaly caused by illiquidity, not a consensus that multiple managers will win.

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