All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Colorado Rockies
O 65.5U 65.5
Minnesota Twins
O 80.5U 80.5
Cincinnati Reds
O 78.5U 78.5
Detroit Tigers
O 85.5U 85.5
Seattle Mariners
O 88.5U 88.5
Texas Rangers
O 80.5U 80.5
San Francisco Giants
O 82.5U 82.5
Boston Red Sox
O 85.5U 85.5
Chicago Cubs
O 86.5U 86.5
Miami Marlins
O 74.5U 74.5
Atlanta Braves
O 90.5U 90.5
Los Angeles Angels
O 72.5U 72.5
Kansas City Royals
O 81.5U 81.5
New York Mets
O 89.5U 89.5
San Diego Padres
O 80.5U 80.5
Milwaukee Brewers
O 82.5U 82.5
Tampa Bay Rays
O 78.5U 78.5
Philadelphia Phillies
O 87.5U 87.5
Washington Nationals
O 68.5U 68.5
Cleveland Guardians
O 75.5U 75.5
Baltimore Orioles
O 84.5U 84.5
Athletics
O 78.5U 78.5
Houston Astros
O 80.5U 80.5
St. Louis Cardinals
O 75.5U 75.5
Los Angeles Dodgers
O 99.5U 99.5
New York Yankees
O 86.5U 86.5
Toronto Blue Jays
O 84.5U 84.5
Arizona Diamondbacks
O 81.5U 81.5
Pittsburgh Pirates
O 83.5U 83.5
Chicago White Sox
O 67.5U 67.5
AI Insights:
03.05 21:52 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
Since specific Win Total Lines (e.g., 'Dodgers 101.5 Wins') are not provided in the input, it is impossible to calculate directional fair value (Over vs. Under). In an efficient market, the line is set at the median projection, implying a 50% probability for both outcomes. Therefore, all fair values are set to neutral (50).
**Key 2026 Season Context (as of Mar 5, 2026)**:
1. **Los Angeles Dodgers**: Reigning 2025 World Series Champions with a $400M+ payroll. While dominant, their win total lines are typically inflated by public sentiment, often making the 'Under' the sharp play.
2. **New York Mets**: Aggressively signed **Juan Soto** (record $765M deal) after missing the 2025 playoffs. The 'Soto Effect' will likely invite heavy public money on the 'Over', potentially overvaluing them.
3. **Toronto Blue Jays**: The 2025 AL Champions (lost WS to Dodgers) represent a massive 'worst-to-first' turnaround, making them a prime candidate for regression analysis.
4. **Pittsburgh Pirates**: Ranked #1 Farm System (led by top prospect Konnor Griffin); could offer hidden 'Over' value if lines lag behind their ascending talent curve.
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Divergence
There is a significant divergence between **Market Activity and Media Hype**. Despite the 2026 Spring Training (March 5) kickoff and massive storylines surrounding the **Dodgers' title defense** and **Soto to the Mets**, the prediction market remains dormant (No Prices). This indicates that market makers have not yet provided liquidity, causing the market to lag behind the intense real-world news cycle.
