MLB: Team to win 100+ games
Sports|$75 Vol|
time144 days 9 hrs

MLB: Team to win 100+ games - AI Found +48.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.05 00:34
Top Undervalued
+48.5¢
Miami Marlins(No)
+47.5¢
Cincinnati Reds(No)
+47.5¢
Pittsburgh Pirates(No)

MLB: Team to win 100+ games AI analysis: • +48.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Typically in an MLB season, only a few elite teams (e.g., Dodgers, Braves, Yankees) have a realistic...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Finance|$83.5k Vol|
time238 days 9 hrs

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
GameStop just launched an unsolicited, non-binding $55.5 billion ($125/share) bid to acquire eBay on...
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Exotics
This is a highly unusual question driven by internet meme culture. GameStop's market cap is much smaller than eBay's, making such an acquisition financially impractical and strategically absurd. Few would seriously ponder this scenario.
Hedging
GME
EBAY
If this highly improbable merger is actually announced, it would trigger a massive shock to the involved equities. eBay (EBAY) would likely surge due to an acquisition premium, while GameStop (GME) would experience extreme volatility given the astronomical financing required to pull off the deal.
Movers
May 3, 2026 - May 4, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from near 0c to 13c, because GameStop officially announced a $55.5 billion non-binding proposal to acquire eBay, sparking market speculation about a potential takeover.
AI Analysis
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?
Finance|$12.3k Vol|
time6 hrs 26 mins

Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Over the past few days, the price for the 'Yes' option has stabilized in the 88c-92c range, currentl...
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Hedging
IONQ
As a single-company earnings prediction, the outcome of this event will directly dictate the movement of IONQ stock. For high-growth, high-volatility companies like those in quantum computing, earnings beats or misses often trigger significant price swings of over 10%-15%, making it highly valuable for hedging.
AI Analysis
Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?
Sports|$13.9k Vol|
time238 days 9 hrs

Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?

Top Undervalued
+43.3¢
Cory Sandhagen(No)
+43¢
Alexandre Pantoja(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The market is currently in a highly irrational state, with the sum of 'Yes' probabilities far exceed...
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Hedging
TKO
This event directly correlates with TKO Group Holdings (UFC's parent company). Confirming Merab vs. Yan 3 would imply a high-grossing PPV main or co-main event, impacting revenue expectations. Conversely, if Merab is booked against a lower-profile opponent, it might signal a downgrade in his commercial valuation by the UFC. While not a structural shock, it is a tradable event for TKO stock in the short term.
Movers
April 24, 2026 - April 26, 2026, Petr Yan's price surged from 67c to 82c due to increased market anticipation of him being the next opponent. April 24, 2026 - April 25, 2026, Umar Nurmagomedov's price spiked from 23.8c to 36.9c before dropping to 8.25c due to rumors being clarified. April 8, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the market entered a state of extreme turbulence. Deiveson Figueiredo's price surged from 0.75c to a peak of 30.4c, and Alexander Volkanovski spiked from 22.6c to 45.7c before settling at 24.9c. This was caused by rampant UFC schedule rumors and conflicting matchmaking leaks, prompting buyers to pour money into multiple mutually exclusive options. March 6, 2026 - March 11, 2026, the market underwent a massive restructuring. Petr Yan's price surged from ~55c to 91.5c, while concurrently, Sean O'Malley (dropped from 28c to 5c), Umar Nurmagomedov (dropped from 33c to 5c), and Song Yadong (dropped from 20c to 4c) all crashed. The reason is likely an official confirmation from the UFC regarding the Merab vs. Yan 3 schedule, destroying all other contender narratives. Feb 9, 2026 - Feb 11, 2026, Rob Font saw a brief anomalous spike to 32c, which has now proven to be market noise or manipulation as his price has returned to near zero.
Divergence
The market prices multiple unlikely contenders (e.g., Rob Font) too high compared to mainstream MMA media consensus, which primarily focuses on Petr Yan or Umar Nurmagomedov. This indicates a highly speculative market with irrational pricing.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Miami Marlins
YesNo
49.5¢
50.5¢
99¢
+48.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
YesNo
49.5¢
50.5¢
98¢
+47.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Divergence
There is a massive divergence between market prices and mainstream sports projections. The market implies a ~49.5% chance for several bottom-dwelling teams to win 100 games, whereas mainstream analytical models (like FanGraphs, PECOTA) assign them a near 0% probability. This distortion is likely due to extremely low liquidity or default orderbook mechanisms.

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