[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest data from the Polymarket page for 'MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year', and given the low liquidity context of only ~$2,100 volume, deeply analyze the order book depth and bid-ask spread for favorites like Roman Bürki or Andre Blake to re-assess fair value and the slippage risk for larger capital entries.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest data from the Polymarket page for 'MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year', and given the low liquidity context of only ~$2,100 volume, deeply analyze the order book depth and bid-ask spread for favorites like Roman Bürki or Andre Blake to re-assess fair value and the slippage risk for larger capital entries.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Mainstream Divergence] Search for the latest odds on '2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year' from mainstream sportsbooks like DraftKings, FanDuel, or Bet365, compare them with the implied probabilities of players like Patrick Schulte or Kristijan Kahlina on Polymarket, and identify any significant pricing deviations caused by the crypto market's lack of liquidity.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mainstream Divergence] Search for the latest odds on '2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year' from mainstream sportsbooks like DraftKings, FanDuel, or Bet365, compare them with the implied probabilities of players like Patrick Schulte or Kristijan Kahlina on Polymarket, and identify any significant pricing deviations caused by the crypto market's lack of liquidity.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Low Liquidity Strategy] Formulate a specific 'Stink Bid' strategy tailored to this market's extremely low volume: calculate at what deeply discounted price levels (e.g., 0.05-0.10 range) to place limit orders for strong goalkeepers like Hugo Lloris or Pedro Gallese, aiming to catch panic dumps caused by the lack of counter-parties.

AI-powered analysis for: [Low Liquidity Strategy] Formulate a specific 'Stink Bid' strategy tailored to this market's extremely low volume: calculate at what deeply discounted price levels (e.g., 0.05-0.10 range) to place limit orders for strong goalkeepers like Hugo Lloris or Pedro Gallese, aiming to catch panic dumps caused by the lack of counter-parties.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Sports|$102 Vol|

248 days 4 hrs

MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Dayne St. Clair

YesNo

6¢

94¢

35¢

65¢

+29¢

0¢

Jonathan Sirois

YesNo

28.4¢

71.6¢

4¢

96¢

0¢

+24.4¢

Novak Mićović

YesNo

24.2¢

75.8¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+23.2¢

Daniel

YesNo

24.05¢

75.95¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+23.1¢

Jonathan Bond

YesNo

23.5¢

76.5¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+22.5¢

John Pulskamp

YesNo

23.1¢

76.9¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+22.1¢

Luis Barraza

YesNo

22.1¢

77.9¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+21.1¢

Chris Brady

YesNo

22.1¢

77.9¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+21.1¢

Brad Stuver

YesNo

23.05¢

76.95¢

3¢

97¢

0¢

+20.1¢

Pedro Gallese

YesNo

22.7¢

77.3¢

5¢

95¢

0¢

+17.7¢

Aljaž Ivačič

YesNo

16.65¢

83.35¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+15.6¢

Sean Johnson

YesNo

16.15¢

83.85¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+15.1¢

Michael Collodi

YesNo

15¢

85¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+14¢

Carlos Coronel

YesNo

14.9¢

85.1¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+13.9¢

Yohei Takaoka

YesNo

16¢

84¢

3¢

97¢

0¢

+13¢

Patrick Schulte

YesNo

18.1¢

81.9¢

6¢

94¢

0¢

+12.1¢

Rafael Cabral

YesNo

10.7¢

89.3¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+9.7¢

Oscar Ustari

YesNo

9.4¢

90.6¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+8.4¢

Joe Willis

YesNo

8.9¢

91.1¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+7.9¢

Kristijan Kahlina

YesNo

22.1¢

77.9¢

15¢

85¢

0¢

+7.1¢

James Pantemis

YesNo

5.3¢

94.7¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+4.3¢

Matt Freese

YesNo

4.5¢

95.5¢

8¢

92¢

+3.5¢

0¢

Stefan Frei

YesNo

4.5¢

95.5¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+3.5¢

Andre Blake

YesNo

6.95¢

93.05¢

10¢

90¢

+3¢

0¢

Lucas Hoyos

YesNo

4¢

96¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+3¢

CJ dos Santos

YesNo

2.8¢

97.2¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+1.8¢

Roman Bürki

YesNo

10.55¢

89.45¢

12¢

88¢

+1.4¢

0¢

Roman Celentano

YesNo

10.75¢

89.25¢

12¢

88¢

+1.2¢

0¢

Hugo Lloris

YesNo

3.45¢

96.55¢

4¢

96¢

+0.5¢

0¢

Zack Steffen

YesNo

5.15¢

94.85¢

5¢

95¢

0¢

+0.1¢

AI Insights:

03.15 01:34 Updated

Fair Value Reasoning:

The market is exhibiting severe mispricing. Dayne St. Clair, the reigning 2025 Goalkeeper of the Year, transferred to Inter Miami (Messi's team) in the offseason, making him the starter for the Supporters' Shield favorites. Despite this massive narrative and tactical advantage, he is priced at only 6 cents. Conversely, options like Jonathan Sirois and Novak Mićović are priced at 24-28 cents, which is mathematically absurd (implying improbably high win rates for average or backup players). The return of Matt Turner to the New England Revolution also dilutes the field; if he is not listed, 'Other' holds significant value.

Movers

March 12, 2026 - March 13, 2026, the price of Brad Stuver surged from 3c to 23c, and John Pulskamp surged from 3c to 23c. The reason is likely an order book anomaly caused by extremely low liquidity. In the absence of major breaking news (such as confirmed starter status or rival injuries), a ~2000% price jump for two non-favorite goalkeepers in a single day is irrational and likely attributed to a bot malfunction or a fat-finger trade in an illiquid market.

Divergence

Extreme divergence detected. Dayne St. Clair is the defending champion playing for the league's strongest team (Inter Miami). Mainstream sports media and expert predictions consistently rank him as a top contender for the 2026 season. However, the prediction market prices him as a longshot with only a ~6% chance of winning, ranking him far below several backup goalkeepers. This represents a significant alpha opportunity.

MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year - AI Odds Analysis

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