Number of TSA Passengers March 28?
Culture|$705 Vol|
time2 days 13 hrs

Number of TSA Passengers March 28? - AI Found +35¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.24 00:39
Top Undervalued
+35¢
<2.6M(No)
+26.4¢
2.6M-2.8M(Yes)
+8.1¢
2.8M-3.0M(Yes)

Number of TSA Passengers March 28? AI analysis: • +35¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
March 28, 2026, is the Saturday before Easter (April 5), typically a busy travel day. However, the o...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Nipah virus in US by March 31?
Science|$42.9k Vol|
time5 days 13 hrs

Nipah virus in US by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+0.7¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 7 days until market expiration, the Nipah outbreaks reported in India and Bangladesh ...
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Exotics
While Nipah is a known deadly pathogen, it is not a current global pandemic focus (like COVID-19 or flu). Predicting the importation of this specific rare tropical disease into the US within a short timeframe represents a niche tail-risk event with moderate attention.
Hedging
MRNA
If a confirmed Nipah case is reported in the US by March 31, while it may not immediately lead to COVID-style lockdowns, it would trigger fears of a new pandemic, increasing risk aversion. Major vaccine stocks (e.g., Moderna, Pfizer) could see speculative gains (Impact 3) due to potential R&D needs, while the broader market (S&P 500) might experience a minor panic sell-off (Impact 2). Given Nipah's high mortality rate, even a single case is sufficient to generate significant media attention and localized market reaction.
AI Analysis
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
World|$152.2k Vol|
time96 days 13 hrs

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
8¢
Arbitrage
34.2%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Low Risk
Arbitrage Plan: Buy Option_'No' Plan Description: Option_'No' is currently priced around 91.5 cents. Based on ISW's assessment of the 'Fortress Belt' ...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 22, 2026, only 99 days remain until settlement. While some frontline reports (DeepState,...
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AI Analysis
Park Sung-jae in jail by March 31?
World|$21.5k Vol|
time5 days 13 hrs

Park Sung-jae in jail by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+0.6¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 24, 2026, with only 7 days remaining until settlement, the probability is effectively ze...
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AI Analysis
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
YouTube|$632.9k Vol|
time5 days 13 hrs

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
80-90M(Yes)
Arbitrage Opportunity
2¢
Arbitrage
124.2%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Direct Arb
Arbitrage Plan: Buy 'Yes' on all options Plan Description: The sum of all 'Yes' prices is currently 97.9 cents (0.705 + 0.25 + 0.0175 + 0.0025 + 0.002 + 0.0015...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on derivative prediction market data (separate markets for 'Day 3' and 'Day 4' views), the vid...
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Exotics
MrBeast's video performance is a highly popular pop-culture topic with broad public interest, so it's not extremely obscure. However, betting on specific first-week view counts remains a niche 'novelty' market compared to traditional political or financial forecasting.
Movers
From March 23, 2026, to March 24, 2026, the '80-90M' option surged from 21c to 70.5c, while '70-80M' crashed from 39c to 1.75c. This was driven by the release of 'Day 3' and 'Day 4' view metrics (showing views clearing 65M and approaching 72M), which effectively eliminated the possibility of an average performance and locked the trajectory above 80M. From March 21, 2026, to March 22, 2026, the '90M+' option saw high volatility, rising from 8c to 30c before settling at 25c, as the market debated whether the confirmed viral momentum was sufficient to challenge historic highs (90M+).
AI Analysis
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Tech|$749.9k Vol|
time5 days 13 hrs

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Top Undervalued
+4.1¢
Anthropic(Yes)
+2.1¢
xAI(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only 6 days left until resolution, Anthropic's Claude 3 Opus (or its successor) maintains a dom...
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Hedging
GOOG
BABA
MSFT
Leaderboard rankings directly impact the pricing of AI technical moats. If Google (Gemini) or OpenAI (GPT series, affecting MSFT) wins, it validates their leadership and supports stock prices. Conversely, a surprise win by Alibaba (Qwen) or DeepSeek would boost sentiment for Chinese tech stocks (like BABA) and could pressure US tech valuations by fueling fears that their moats are being eroded by open-source or lower-cost alternatives.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
<2.6M
YesNo
95¢
60¢
40¢
+35¢
2.6M-2.8M
YesNo
3.6¢
96.4¢
30¢
70¢
+26.4¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Divergence
Extreme divergence. Mainstream media confirms the DHS shutdown is causing long lines and reduced throughput (bearish for volume), yet the prediction market assigns the highest probability (45%) to a 'record-breaking' outcome (3.2M-3.4M). This contradicts both the fundamental Saturday seasonality and the current staffing crisis.

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