Republican VP Nominee 2028
Politics|$6,057 Vol|
time833 days 19 hrs

Republican VP Nominee 2028 - AI Found +24.3¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.30 11:58
Top Undervalued
+24.3¢
Kristi Noem(No)
+22.1¢
Steve Bannon(No)
+22¢
Thomas Massie(No)

Republican VP Nominee 2028 AI analysis: • +24.3¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market suffers from extreme illiquidity, causing the Yes prices of most options to be ab...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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2026 Women's French Open Winner
Sports|$2.6m Vol|
time33 days 19 hrs

2026 Women's French Open Winner

Top Undervalued
+1.7¢
Amanda Anisimova(Yes)
+1.5¢
Belinda Bencic(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Aryna Sabalenka currently leads at 31.5¢; given her excellent form and health, 32¢ is a reasonable f...
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AI Analysis
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Geopolitics|$110.1k Vol|
time27 days 19 hrs

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The April 2026 ceasefire negotiations have hit major roadblocks. Iran demands the lifting of the Str...
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Hedging
Crude Oil
Reaching a US-Iran nuclear deal would significantly reduce the geopolitical risk premium in the Middle East and potentially lift sanctions on Iran, releasing substantial crude oil supply into the global market. This would exert direct and significant bearish pressure on crude oil prices (impact score of 4). Additionally, safe-haven assets like Gold might face mild downward pressure due to eased geopolitical tensions.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in London on May 4?
Weather|$26.8k Vol|
time1 days 7 hrs

Highest temperature in London on May 4?

Top Undervalued
+34¢
18°C(No)
+30.5¢
16°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature in London on May 4, 2026, is expected to...
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Exotics
Forecasting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a common novelty topic in prediction markets. While not as mainstream as political elections or sports, it is not extremely bizarre because participants can rely on mature meteorological models.
Divergence
The market currently favors 18°C (30.5c), whereas mainstream weather forecasts (e.g., The Weather Channel and Met Office) project a high of around 16°C to 17°C for May 4. This indicates a divergence between market pricing and the latest meteorological data, likely due to market participants not updating their models with the most recent forecasts.
AI Analysis
UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final
Sports|$533.6k Vol|
time3 days 19 hrs

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
Atlético Madrid(No)
+0.5¢
Arsenal(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The market pricing remains highly stable, with the sum of implied probabilities resting perfectly at...
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AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Kristi Noem
YesNo
25.35¢
74.65¢
99¢
+24.3¢
Steve Bannon
YesNo
22.1¢
77.9¢
100¢
+22.1¢

Expand to view all 35 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 26, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the Yes prices for multiple candidates (e.g., Vivek Ramaswamy, Kristi Noem, Mike Pence, Steve Bannon) experienced massive spikes. For instance, Vivek Ramaswamy surged from 1.5c to 35.6c, and Kristi Noem jumped from 12.5c to 33.35c. This was caused by extreme illiquidity in the market, where a small amount of irrational capital or automated market maker (AMM) distortions led to widespread price anomalies, completely disconnected from actual political developments.
Divergence
The prediction market currently implies that figures like Tom Brady, Steve Bannon, and Marjorie Taylor Greene each have a >20% chance of being the VP nominee, which wildly diverges from mainstream political consensus and media analysis. The mainstream view expects the nominee to be an established politician or a rising star with broad electoral appeal. The market prices are purely artifacts of extreme low liquidity rather than legitimate forecasts.

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