Solana price on May 12?
Crypto|$15 Vol|
time6 days 9 hrs

Solana price on May 12? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+0.2¢
50-60(No)
+0.2¢
120-130(No)
+0.2¢
110-120(No)

Solana price on May 12? AI analysis: • +0.2¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Politics|$10.5k Vol|
time238 days 17 hrs

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Top Undervalued
+7.2¢
Chris Wright(No)
+5.5¢
Tulsi Gabbard(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
In the current market, Tulsi Gabbard, Chris Wright, and Howard Lutnick are the leading candidates, w...
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Rule Risk
The rules contain a few nuanced risk points: 1) Resolution is triggered immediately upon announcement, regardless of when it takes effect; 2) If multiple people announce simultaneously, it resolves to the one who actually leaves first, or alphabetically by last name if simultaneous; 3) Being reassigned to another Cabinet position counts as leaving. These details could cause disputes during mass reshuffles or position changes.
Movers
May 3, 2026 - May 6, 2026: Chris Wright's price surged from 27c to 32c (after dropping to 10.8c), Howard Lutnick's dropped from 32.9c to 24.5c, and Pete Hegseth's fell from ~7c to 4.5c. This reflects rapid market reassessment of departure risks for these officials, particularly heightened speculation around energy and commerce positions.
AI Analysis
Search Google News and Twitter for the most direct news sources: Which current Trump Cabinet member (such as RFK Jr., Pete Hegseth, or Susie Wiles) is facing the most intense rumors of firing, scandals, or pressure to resign?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 6?
Weather|$46.9k Vol|
time5 hrs 53 mins

Highest temperature in NYC on May 6?

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
66-67°F(Yes)
+7¢
70-71°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, LaGuardia Airport (LGA) in NYC is experiencing a cold front o...
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Movers
May 4, 2026 - May 6, 2026, the price of 66-67°F climbed from 31.5c to 47c before dropping to 26.5c, driven by shifting high-temperature expectations from updated weather models. May 4, 2026 - May 5, 2026, the price of 68-69°F surged from 16c to 36.5c as the forecast temperature median trended slightly upward closer to the resolution day. May 4, 2026 - May 5, 2026, the price of 70-71°F rallied from 8c to 27c, owing to some meteorological forecasts indicating a possible brief warmup.
AI Analysis
How exactly will the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport on May 6 be determined using Wunderground, and what are the specific rules and timing for market resolution?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 6?
Weather|$47.4k Vol|
time5 hrs 53 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 6?

Top Undervalued
+13.5¢
66-67°F(Yes)
+13¢
68-69°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts (including the resolution source, Wunderground) [10], the expected...
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Movers
May 5, 2026 - May 6, 2026, the price of the 66-67°F option plummeted from a high of 37.5c to 21.5c, while the 64-65°F option surged from 11.5c to 20.5c. This was driven by multiple weather forecasts (including Wunderground) significantly lowering their high-temperature expectations for May 6 from the low 70s to the 64-66°F range. May 5, 2026, the 70-71°F option plummeted from 20.5c to less than 2c, as updated cooler forecasts made temperatures above 70°F highly unlikely.
Divergence
The market still prices 68-69°F as the most likely outcome (28c), with 66-67°F trailing at 21.5c. However, most updated mainstream forecasts, including the resolution source Wunderground [10], indicate a high of around 66°F for May 6, with some models even cooler [2]. The market appears to be lagging in fully absorbing the recent downward revisions in the weather forecast.
AI Analysis
Verify the Wunderground data source for KSEA on May 6th. At what exact time does the full-day temperature data become 'finalized' on the website to avoid rule disputes caused by time zone differences or data delays?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 6?
Weather|$27.1k Vol|
time5 hrs 53 mins

Highest temperature in Busan on May 6?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
23°C(Yes)
+0.5¢
22°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Given that it is already May 6, 2026, and the market resolves in less than 6 hours, the market has s...
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Movers
Between 2026-05-06 04:58 and 06:03, the price of the '22°C' option surged from 41c to 95.5c, while the '23°C' option plummeted from 47c to 5.5c, and the '24°C' option dropped from 7.1c to 0.6c. The reason is that as the actual temperature data for May 6 became available and clear throughout the day, the actual highest temperature record was essentially locked in the 22°C range. This caused market funds to rapidly concentrate on the only certain outcome, eliminating the uncertainty from the forecasts of previous days.
AI Analysis
How exactly does the Wunderground resolution source round the highest temperatures for the Gimhae Airport Station (RKPK), and how will the market rules handle any weather data revisions made after May 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 6?
Weather|$41.6k Vol|
time5 hrs 53 mins

Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 6?

Top Undervalued
0¢
28°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather data from Wunderground, the expected high temperature for Chongqing ...
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Exotics
While weather forecasting relies on objective data, betting on the exact highest temperature of a specific inland city on a specific day has a narrow audience and low daily mainstream attention, giving it a certain degree of novelty.
Movers
May 5, 2026 - May 6, 2026, the price of the 28°C option plummeted from 16c to 0.05c. The reason is that the weather forecast significantly revised the day's high temperature in Chongqing up to 87°F (approx. 30.5°C). As local time entered the afternoon and temperatures had already far exceeded 28°C, this option effectively lost any chance of resolving to Yes. May 3, 2026 - May 5, 2026, prices remained relatively stable with no movements over 10 cents, reflecting no abrupt changes in the weather forecast at that time.
AI Analysis
How do the resolution rules work for this Chongqing temperature market, and how exactly is the ZUCK station data on Wunderground read in whole degrees Celsius?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
50-60
YesNo
6¢
99.8¢
0¢
100¢
0¢
+0.2¢
120-130
YesNo
51¢
99.8¢
0¢
100¢
0¢
+0.2¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0090, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 2: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0130, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 3: Weekly Price Change, 0.0290, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Positive Factor 4: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0130, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Positive Factor 5: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, 0.0160, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average Negative Factor 1: Volume-Price Divergence Signal, 1.0000, Impact-Strong, Factor description Potential trap signal: detect divergence where price rises but volume decreases

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