Moderate rule risk. Resolution heavily depends on a specific third-party tracker (xtracker), and there is a contradiction regarding replies (they don't count, unless the tracker records them on the main feed). Additionally, whether quickly deleted posts count depends entirely on the tracker's crawling timing.

A highly niche and novelty market. Aside from heavy prediction market participants, almost no one naturally wonders about the exact number of tweets a politician will make in a specific week.

Between April 28, 2026 and April 30, 2026, due to the approaching settlement and possible fluctuations in posting speed, most option prices experienced significant adjustments. For example, 120-139 dropped from 53.5c to 28c, 60-79 fluctuated from 49.5c to 40.5c, and 100-119 decreased from 42c to 37.5c. Between April 28, 2026, 08:33 and 16:03, all options experienced severe volatility, with some Yes prices surging from very low levels to around 40c-50c. This is likely due to market participants sharply reevaluating their expectations of post counts as the start time approached, or a massive adjustment in market maker quotes.