AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.27 09:01
Top Undervalued
+26.5¢
$2B(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
6¢
Arbitrage
3.8%
Annualized yield
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch? AI analysis: • +26.5¢ undervalued • 3.8% arbitrage APY • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Arbitrage Plan:
Buy Yes on '$800M' (26c) and buy No on '$1B' (68c) simultaneously. The total cost is 94c. Regardless of the outcome, this combination guarantees at least a 100c payout (and a 200c payout if the FDV lands strictly between 800M and 1B), locking in a risk-free arbitrage.
Plan Description:
This is a classic risk-free logical inclusion arbitrage. Since an FDV > $1B strictly implies an FDV ...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
The logical monotonicity in the current market pricing remains severely broken and has worsened. For...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
$2B
YesNo
41.5¢
58.5¢
15¢
85¢
0¢
+26.5¢
$800M
YesNo
27.5¢
72.5¢
35¢
65¢
+7.5¢
0¢
Expand to view all 8 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
This is a speculative market on the future valuation of a specific crypto project (Unit Network). While predicting FDV for new token launches is common in crypto, Unit is relatively niche compared to major L1/L2s. It requires specific knowledge of the project's tokenomics and hype cycle, making it a niche interest.
Movers
April 25, 2026 - April 27, 2026, the $1B option surged from 23c to 34.5c before settling at 32c, causing a severe pricing inversion (pricing it higher than the $800M option). This is highly likely a liquidity imbalance caused by irrational buying.
April 22, 2026 - April 24, 2026, the $400M option jumped from 43.5c to 57.5c, reflecting an overall increase in market expectations for a successful Unit token launch.
March 28, 2026 - March 30, 2026, the $200M option price plunged from 54.5c to 44c, reflecting a significant shakeup in the market's baseline confidence regarding Unit's ability to successfully launch a token before the end of 2027.
March 19, 2026 - March 24, 2026, the $1.5B option price fell consistently from 38c to 25c, correcting its previous extreme premium relative to $1B and $2B options. During the same period, the $3B option experienced a 'V-shaped' reversal, dropping from 18c to 6.5c (March 23) before bouncing back to 15.5c on March 24, highlighting extreme illiquidity.
March 11, 2026 - March 17, 2026, option prices entered a period of low-liquidity chaotic oscillation. The market exhibited pricing logic errors (higher valuation options priced above lower valuation ones), characterized by a lack of market makers maintaining a smooth pricing curve.
March 6, 2026 - March 8, 2026, the price of the $1B option surged from 15.5c to 32c before retracing. This extreme intraday volatility was likely caused by a 'fat-finger' trade in a liquidity-dry long-tail option, or an aggressive individual whale bet, which the market subsequently corrected.