What price will Bitcoin hit May 11-17?
Crypto|$21.7k Vol|
time6 days 15 hrs

What price will Bitcoin hit May 11-17? - AI Found +29.1¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+29.1¢
↑ 86,000(Yes)
+28.7¢
↑ 84,000(Yes)
+25¢
↓ 78,000(No)

What price will Bitcoin hit May 11-17? AI analysis: • +29.1¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 12?
Weather|$14.5k Vol|
time23 hrs 21 mins

Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 12?

Top Undervalued
+35¢
35°C(No)
+15¢
33°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to current weather forecasts (Google Weather, AccuWeather), the high temperature for Jakar...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature of a specific city is somewhat niche and trivial for the general public, but it is a standard daily weather derivative in prediction markets. Thus, it is moderately exotic but not extreme.
AI Analysis
Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)
Tech|$18.2k Vol|
time4 days 11 hrs

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Top Undervalued
+0.9¢
claude-opus-4-6(No)
+0.7¢
gemini-3.1-pro-preview(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market price action, 'claude-opus-4-6-thinking' has stabilized around 94.5c, ind...
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Rule Risk
Moderate risk. Resolution relies on a snapshot of the leaderboard at a specific date and time (12:00 PM ET). Furthermore, it explicitly specifies 'Style Control Off' and has strict tie-breaker rules (including unrounded granular values and alphabetical order) which require careful monitoring. If the site is down, resolution depends on the first snapshot upon recovery, adding timing uncertainty.
Movers
May 8, 2026 - May 9, 2026, the price of 'claude-opus-4-6-thinking' surged from 46c to 92.5c, while 'claude-opus-4-6' plummeted from 41c to 3.3c, and 'Other' dropped from 38.5c to 2.65c. This was driven by the model likely establishing an overwhelming lead on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard, securing its expected victory.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 12?
Weather|$17.1k Vol|
time23 hrs 21 mins

Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 12?

Top Undervalued
+15.5¢
36°C(Yes)
+7.2¢
39°C or higher(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature in Jeddah (OEJN) on May 12 is expected t...
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Exotics
Betting on the exact daily high temperature of a specific Middle Eastern city is a niche micro-weather prediction market. The general public does not naturally ponder this, but since it is completely grounded in objective meteorological data, it holds a moderate level of novelty.
AI Analysis
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Politics|$261.7k Vol|
time3 days 11 hrs

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 4 days remaining until the May 15 deadline, the price of the 'Yes' option is extremel...
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Exotics
This is a specific political appointment prediction. While not extremely bizarre, compared to general election results, the withdrawal of a specific nominee is a niche topic driven by specific political maneuvering.
Hedging
US 10Y Yield
The appointment of the Fed Chair is critical for the macro economy. Kevin Warsh is often viewed as hawkish or less interventionist. If his nomination is withdrawn, it could imply a more dovish replacement or increased political uncertainty. This would directly impact US Treasury Yields (US 10Y Yield) and the Dollar Index (DXY). If the withdrawal is due to scandal or severe political conflict, it could introduce short-term volatility to equities.
AI Analysis
April Inflation US - Annual
Economy|$366.6k Vol|
time11 hrs 21 mins

April Inflation US - Annual

Top Undervalued
+1.9¢
≥4.1%(No)
+1.3¢
3.7%(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 1 day remaining until the release of the April CPI data, market expectations are comp...
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Hedging
Gold
DXY
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
US CPI data is a crucial driver for Federal Reserve monetary policy. A higher-than-expected inflation print typically pushes up US 10-year Treasury yields and the US Dollar (DXY) as markets price in tighter monetary policy, while simultaneously pressuring broad equities (S&P 500) and triggering volatility in Gold. This constitutes a highly tradable macro event.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↑ 86,000
YesNo
18.5¢
81.5¢
47.6¢
52.4¢
+29.1¢
↑ 84,000
YesNo
45.5¢
54.5¢
74.2¢
25.8¢
+28.7¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.1140, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 2: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0400, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 3: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0400, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Positive Factor 4: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, 0.0130, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average Negative Factor 1: Weekly Price Change, -0.0010, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Negative Factor 2: Volume-Price Divergence Signal, 1.0000, Impact-Strong, Factor description Potential trap signal: detect divergence where price rises but volume decreases

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What price will Bitcoin hit May 11-17? - AI Found +29.1¢ Mispricing