What price will Bitcoin hit on April 28?
Crypto|$60.6k Vol|
time2 hrs 25 mins

What price will Bitcoin hit on April 28? - AI Found +16.6¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+16.6¢
↑ 77,000(Yes)
+8.9¢
↑ 77,000(No)
+0.7¢
↓ 75,000(Yes)

What price will Bitcoin hit on April 28? AI analysis: • +16.6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 29?
Weather|$18.0k Vol|
time10 hrs 25 mins

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 29?

Top Undervalued
+18¢
29°C(No)
+17.6¢
31°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Sao Paulo-Guarulhos Airport on April...
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Exotics
Predicting the daily high temperature for a specific city is uncommon for the general public, but it is a standard weather derivative in crypto prediction markets, giving it a moderate novelty factor.
AI Analysis
How exactly will the highest temperature at Sao Paulo-Guarulhos Airport be verified using Wunderground's daily history, and what are the specific rules regarding data finalization or Celsius conversions (ELI5)?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 29?
Weather|$32.6k Vol|
time10 hrs 25 mins

Highest temperature in Dallas on April 29?

Top Undervalued
+84.5¢
73°F or below(No)
+34.3¢
78-79°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to major weather forecasts like NWS and AccuWeather, the highest temperature at Dallas Lov...
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Exotics
Predicting the specific high temperature of a city on a given day is a typical niche data market. While the general public frequently checks weather forecasts, they rarely use them as betting subjects, giving it a moderate level of novelty.
AI Analysis
How reliable is the Wunderground data update status for Dallas Love Field (KDAL), and is there a risk of historical data delays or omissions that could prevent timely market resolution?
Fed rate hike by...?
Finance|$56.3k Vol|
time182 days 22 hrs

Fed rate hike by...?

Top Undervalued
+7.5¢
September Meeting(No)
+5¢
October Meeting(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The Federal Reserve's current monetary policy stance is predominantly on hold or easing, making near...
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Hedging
Gold
DXY
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
Whether the Fed hikes rates has a decisive impact on global macro liquidity. An unexpected rate hike in the current cycle would significantly drive up US Treasury yields and the Dollar Index (DXY), while exerting strong downward shock on equities (S&P 500) and Gold.
AI Analysis
What is the exact official schedule for the upcoming 2026 FOMC meetings (April, June, July, September, October), and is there any risk of meeting delays that could trigger the 7-day cancellation rule resulting in a 'No' resolution?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 29?
Weather|$166.4k Vol|
time10 hrs 25 mins

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 29?

Top Undervalued
+19.5¢
26°C(Yes)
+16.5¢
27°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest 9-day weather forecast issued by the Hong Kong Observatory on April 28, Hong...
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Movers
April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026: The price of the 26°C option surged from 23c to 49c, as the latest weather forecast from the Hong Kong Observatory explicitly narrowed the maximum expected temperature for the 29th down to around 26°C. April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026: The price of the 27°C option rose from 22.5c to 39.5c, reflecting market anticipation that brief daytime sunshine before the cold front fully arrives could push temperatures slightly above the forecasted 26°C. April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026: The price of the 28°C option plunged from 22.5c to 7.5c, because the forecast indicating a cold front and heavy rain significantly diminished the likelihood of experiencing temperatures as high as 28°C.
AI Analysis
How exactly does the Hong Kong Observatory's 'Daily Extract' finalize the 'Absolute Daily Max' temperature, and what are the specific resolution rules if a one-decimal-place reading (e.g., 24.0°C) lands on the border of two options?
MA-02 House Election Winner
Elections|$12.0k Vol|
time187 days 22 hrs

MA-02 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+6¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
+6¢
Republican Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District (MA-02) is a deeply solid Democratic stronghold (Cook PVI ...
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AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Visit the Polymarket page for the 'MA-02 House Election Winner' event (Current Volume: $1124) to analyze the order book spread and depth. Combining this with the status of incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern, assess whether the current odds are fair or if low liquidity has created mispricing or arbitrage opportunities.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↑ 77,000
YesNo
80.95¢
19.05¢
97.6¢
27.9¢
+16.6¢
+8.9¢
↓ 75,000
YesNo
1.75¢
98.25¢
2.5¢
99¢
+0.7¢
+0.7¢

Expand to view all 16 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Negative Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, -0.0010, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Negative Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, -0.0120, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Negative Factor 3: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0000, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Negative Factor 4: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, -0.0120, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Negative Factor 5: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0400, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

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