What price will Ethereum hit March 30-April 5?
Crypto|$21.0k Vol|
time6 days 17 hrs

What price will Ethereum hit March 30-April 5? - AI Found +29.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+29.5¢
↓ 1,900(Yes)
+28.7¢
↓ 1,800(Yes)
+21.6¢
↓ 1,700(Yes)

What price will Ethereum hit March 30-April 5? AI analysis: • +29.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Highest temperature in NYC on March 31?
Weather|$128.5k Vol|
time1 days 1 hrs

Highest temperature in NYC on March 31?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
68-69°F(Yes)
+3.5¢
72-73°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest meteorological models continue to show an abnormally warm air mass affecting NYC on March...
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Movers
March 29, 2026 - March 30, 2026: The price for '74°F or higher' dropped from 55.5c to 43.5c, while '72-73°F' rose from 19.5c to 32.0c. This was caused by near-term high-resolution weather data suggesting slightly more cloud cover, lowering extreme heat confidence and shifting funds to the 72-73°F bracket. March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026: The price for '74°F or higher' dropped from 55.5c to 27.5c before rebounding to 41.5c, driven by model disagreements (GFS vs ECMWF) over potential low-level clouds limiting peak heating. March 27, 2026 10:15 - 13:30: Prices for all options below 65°F crashed by over 20c (e.g., '55°F or below' plummeted from 25.5c to 0.8c, '60-61°F' from 24c to 1.6c), while higher temperature options surged. This was caused by a sudden update in weather forecasts confirming a strong anomalous warming trend.
AI Analysis
How exactly does Wunderground finalize the daily high temperature for the LaGuardia Airport Station (KLGA), and at what specific time will the March 31 data be considered officially final to resolve this market?
MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics|$35.8k Vol|
time126 days 13 hrs

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+29¢
Eric Chung(No)
+22.5¢
Tim Greimel(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The MI-10 Democratic primary has consolidated into a two-way race between Eric Chung and Tim Greimel...
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Movers
March 15, 2026 - March 16, 2026, Tim Greimel's price surged from 10c to 39.5c. Reason: A massive market correction aligning his price with his strong fundamentals as a top-tier contender (Mayor of Pontiac), ending a period of significant undervaluation. March 13, 2026 - March 15, 2026, Eric Chung's price rose from 34.5c to 47.5c before settling at 43.5c. Reason: Consolidation of his status as the fundraising frontrunner. March 12, 2026 - March 16, 2026, Brian Jaye's price faded from a speculative high of 31.5c to 19c. Reason: Speculative interest waned as his lack of campaign funds weighed on the price.
Divergence
Significant market inefficiency exists. Brian Jaye (19c) and Tripp Adams (5c) are trading far above their realistic probabilities (Jaye lacks funds, Adams suspended), where fair value should be near 0. This overvaluation of long-tail candidates has pushed the total implied probability to ~124%, creating a major divergence from the reality that there can be only one winner.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest campaign announcements and FEC filing status for the MI-10 Democratic Primary candidates (Eric Chung, Christina Hines, etc.), analyze the bid-ask spread in this extremely low-volume market (~$1), and assess whether there is current arbitrage space or if the market is simply dormant.
Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
Culture|$57.6k Vol|
time6 days 13 hrs

Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?

Top Undervalued
+3¢
<300k(No)
+2.5¢
300k-400k(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on Kanye West's recent performance (Vultures 1 debut ~148k, Vultures 2 debut ~107k), his comme...
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Rule Risk
The primary risk lies in Kanye West's notorious history of delays. The rule dictates that if unreleased by April 30, it resolves to the 'lowest bracket (<300k),' posing a massive risk for bettors bullish on sales figures. Additionally, resolution uses HDD's 'Activity' column (SPS consumption), not pure album sales as the title might suggest.
Movers
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of the '<300k' option surged from 57.5c to 84.5c, while the '300k-400k' option plummeted from 33c to 8.5c. This was likely due to the passing of the scheduled March 27 release date without a strong debut or a delay, significantly increasing the probability of a sub-300k performance or a non-release default. Current data contains only a single snapshot; price volatility over the last 3 days cannot be calculated. More historical data is needed to detect sudden movements.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Given the extremely low volume of $1.25, visit the Polymarket page to check if there is any valid bid/ask depth. Is the current odds distribution severely distorted, creating arbitrage or market-making opportunities for options like '<300k' (which covers the delay scenario) or '300k-400k'?
Park Sung-jae in jail by March 31?
World|$28.9k Vol|
time13 hrs 5 mins

Park Sung-jae in jail by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+0.3¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 29, 2026, with only about two days left until settlement, the price of 'Yes' has dropped...
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AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest updates on the insurrection investigation of Park Sung-jae, analyze the order book depth of the $14k volume on Polymarket, and specifically assess whether the market has fully priced in the rule nuance that "temporary holding does not count" into the fair value.
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
Politics|$84.1k Vol|
time13 hrs 5 mins

Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?

Top Undervalued
0¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 30, 2026, with less than 1 day until resolution, Nicolas Maduro is already incarcerated ...
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Exotics
This is a highly specific novelty market. While Maduro's potential exit is a standard geopolitical topic, the specific destination (Qatar) combined with the deadline makes it highly speculative and niche.
Hedging
Crude Oil
If Maduro actually goes into exile, it implies a regime change in Venezuela, which is a significant event for global oil supply dynamics. While current output is diminished, the prospect of normalization could put downward pressure on oil prices. Companies with interests there, like Chevron (CVX), could see direct impacts.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest information, visit the Polymarket page for the 'Maduro exiled to Qatar' event to analyze the Order Book depth and volume, and update the assessment of fair value based on current Venezuelan geopolitical dynamics (e.g., post-election disputes, US sanctions).
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↓ 1,900
YesNo
41¢
62¢
70.5¢
29.5¢
+29.5¢
0¢
↓ 1,800
YesNo
20¢
84¢
48.7¢
51.3¢
+28.7¢
0¢

Expand to view all 14 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Negative Factor 1: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, -0.0430, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Negative Factor 2: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0630, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Negative Factor 3: Weekly Price Change, -0.0020, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Negative Factor 4: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, -0.0630, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Negative Factor 5: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, -0.0110, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average

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