What price will Ethereum hit on May 15?
Crypto|$11.7k Vol|
time12 hrs 4 mins

What price will Ethereum hit on May 15? - AI Found +25.9¢ Mispricing

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Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+25.9¢
↓ 2,200(Yes)
+25.3¢
↓ 2,150(Yes)
+1.3¢
↑ 2,300(No)

What price will Ethereum hit on May 15? AI analysis: • +25.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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NBA Eastern Conference Champion
Sports|$17.0m Vol|
time31 days 16 hrs

NBA Eastern Conference Champion

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
New York Knicks(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
0.25¢
Arbitrage
2.95%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Direct Arb
Arbitrage Plan: Buy Yes on all options simultaneously (New York Knicks 64.5c + Cleveland Cavaliers 25.5c + Detroit Pistons 9.75c). Plan Description: The sum of the Yes prices for all options is 64.5 + 25.5 + 9.75 = 99.75c, which is less than 100c. B...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
The New York Knicks continue to extend their lead, with their price stabilizing around 64c, reflecti...
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Movers
May 12, 2026 - May 15, 2026, the Detroit Pistons' price plummeted from 24.6c to 9.75c, while the Cleveland Cavaliers' price surged from 15.5c to 25.5c. The reason is that the Pistons suffered consecutive losses and are on the brink of elimination, whereas the Cavaliers secured crucial victories to mount a comeback in the playoffs, causing capital to rotate rapidly from the Pistons to the Cavaliers. May 11, 2026 - May 14, 2026, the Cleveland Cavaliers' price surged from 10.5c to 26c, while the Detroit Pistons' price plummeted from 30.25c to 9.65c. The reason is that the Cavaliers secured crucial victories to mount a comeback in the playoffs, whereas the Pistons suffered consecutive losses and are on the brink of elimination, causing capital to rotate rapidly from the Pistons to the Cavaliers. May 05, 2026 - May 08, 2026, Detroit Pistons' price increased from 25.65c to 39.05c, while the Cleveland Cavaliers' price plummeted from 23.5c to 7.5c. The reason is that the Pistons secured key victories or showed overwhelming advantage in the second round of the playoffs, whereas the Cavaliers likely suffered losses and faced the brink of elimination, prompting a rapid reallocation of market funds. May 04, 2026 - May 07, 2026, New York Knicks' price continued to rise from 38.5c to 51c, while the Philadelphia 76ers' price plummeted from 14.75c to 3.2c. The reason is that as the second round of the playoffs progressed, the Knicks demonstrated dominant performances and established a clear series lead, whereas the 76ers likely faced severe disadvantages such as key injuries or being on the brink of elimination, causing capital to quickly rotate towards the Knicks. May 02, 2026 - May 05, 2026, New York Knicks' price surged significantly from 27c to 43.5c, driven by the team's dominant playoff performances and the hot form of key players, which greatly boosted market expectations for them to reach the Eastern Conference Finals. May 01, 2026 - May 04, 2026, Detroit Pistons' price surged from 7.5c to 27.3c, as the team showed unexpectedly strong competitiveness in the playoffs, regaining market confidence and attracting rapid, continuous capital inflow. Apr 30, 2026 - May 01, 2026, Boston Celtics' price dropped from 46.85c to 31.4c, as the market likely developed concerns over the team's recent performance or health status, leading to significant capital outflow. Apr 26, 2026 - Apr 28, 2026, Detroit Pistons' price dropped from 10.5c to 5c, as the team underperformed in the ongoing first round of the playoffs, causing the market to further lose confidence in their advancement prospects and accelerating capital outflows. Apr 18, 2026 - Apr 20, 2026, Detroit Pistons' price dropped from 20.5c to 12c, as the market developed new concerns regarding the team's resilience in the upcoming first-round playoff series, leading to an outflow of capital. Mar 22, 2026 - Mar 23, 2026, Detroit Pistons' price rebounded to 12c after touching a low of 9.5c, as the market sought equilibrium following panic selling, with some speculative capital betting on a potential late-playoff return for Cade Cunningham. Mar 19, 2026 - Mar 22, 2026, Boston Celtics' price rose steadily from 33c to 36c, cementing their status as the clear favorite following positive news regarding Jayson Tatum's unrestricted return. Mar 16, 2026 - Mar 22, 2026, Detroit Pistons' price plummeted from 17.5c to 9.5c due to news that star Cade Cunningham was diagnosed with a collapsed lung, causing the market to abandon the inexperienced top seed.
AI Analysis
Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics|$199.6k Vol|
time3 days 8 hrs

Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+0.8¢
Andy Barr(Yes)
+0.4¢
Daniel Cameron(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than four days until the 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate primary, Andy Barr's price remain...
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AI Analysis
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Politics|$23.8k Vol|
time229 days 8 hrs

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Top Undervalued
+3.1¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Under Greenland's Self-Government Act, an independence referendum requires a lengthy legal process: ...
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Exotics
While Greenlandic independence is a longstanding geopolitical topic, it is not a daily concern for the general public. It falls under niche regional politics; while not absurd (like 'alien invasion'), it is relatively exotic and specialized compared to typical prediction markets.
AI Analysis
Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics|$40.8k Vol|
time3 days 8 hrs

Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+6¢
Charles Booker(No)
+3¢
Amy McGrath(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only a few days left until the Kentucky Democratic primary, market pricing is highly concentrat...
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Movers
May 12, 2026 - May 13, 2026, Charles Booker's price crashed intraday from 86.5c to 60.5c, before rapidly rebounding to 84c the following day. This extreme volatility occurred without significant negative news, likely due to thin liquidity as expiration approaches, causing a large order to temporarily distort the order book. April 28, 2026 - April 29, 2026, all options experienced extreme volatility. Charles Booker plummeted to 48c, while Amy McGrath and all long-tail candidates spiked to around 50c. Prices rapidly reverted to normal on April 29. The reason is likely extreme liquidity depletion or a massive anomalous trade (fat-finger error), causing a temporary distortion in order books. March 14, 2026 - March 16, 2026, Charles Booker's price corrected from 84.5c to 77.5c, indicating profit-taking or sentiment correction after an over-bullish run, without significant negative news. During the same period, Amy McGrath rebounded slightly from 12.5c to 18c before falling back. February 25, 2026 - February 28, 2026, long-tail candidates experienced high volatility without breaching the 10c threshold. Joel Willett rebounded from 3c to 10.8c, while Logan Forsythe crashed from 6.5c to 0.85c, indicating market confusion in pricing the 'Other' tier liquidity. February 9, 2026 - February 10, 2026, the long-tail candidates experienced a collective crash. Pamela Stevenson dropped from 20.5c to 10.5c, while Logan Forsythe and Joel Willett both fell from 20c to 11c, due to the Feb 5 poll showing negligible support for them, triggering a market correction.
AI Analysis
Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics|$11.6k Vol|
time3 days 8 hrs

Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+0.3¢
Joe Evans(No)
+0.1¢
Jim Risch(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Incumbent Senator Jim Risch, as a veteran Republican in deep-red Idaho, holds an unassailable politi...
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AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↓ 2,200
YesNo
64¢
54¢
89.9¢
10.1¢
+25.9¢
↓ 2,150
YesNo
8.1¢
96.4¢
33.4¢
66.6¢
+25.3¢

Expand to view all 14 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, 0.0170, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Positive Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0060, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Positive Factor 3: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0080, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Negative Factor 1: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, -0.0100, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Negative Factor 2: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0740, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

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