What price will Solana hit on March 22?
Crypto|$15.9k Vol|
time4 hrs 58 mins

What price will Solana hit on March 22? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+2.9¢
↓ 85(Yes)
+1.2¢
↓ 80(Yes)
+1.2¢
↓ 80(No)

What price will Solana hit on March 22? AI analysis: • +2.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Trump|$75.8m Vol|
time283 days 0 hrs

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
Delcy Rodríguez(Yes)
Arbitrage Opportunity
2¢
Arbitrage
3.4%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Direct Arb
Arbitrage Plan: Buy The Field (Yes on all options) Plan Description: The sum of 'Yes' prices for all options is approximately 97.35 cents. Buying 'Yes' on every listed o...
Log in to see more
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the March 22, 2026 simulation: 1. Delcy Rodríguez (Current 61.5c -> Fair 70c): As the US/Tr...
Log in to see more
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 23?
Weather|$76.7k Vol|
time12 hrs 58 mins

Highest temperature in Wellington on March 23?

Top Undervalued
+4.4¢
19°C(No)
+4.1¢
23°C or higher(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of 11:00 AM NZDT on March 23, the temperature in Wellington has already reached 17°C. MetService ...
Log in to see more
Movers
From March 20 to March 22, 2026, the price of [19°C] crashed from 26c to under 1c, while [21°C] surged from 14.5c to 46.5c and [22°C] rose from 9c to 34c. This shift occurred as meteorological forecasts (e.g., MetService) significantly upgraded the expected high for March 23 from ~19°C to 22°C, causing the market to abandon cooler options and consolidate around the new official guidance. From March 19 to March 21, 2026, the price of [23°C or higher] dropped from 25.5c to ~9c, as the market corrected an early premium likely caused by geolocation errors (confusing NZ with warmer locations), aligning with realistic local forecasts.
Divergence
A subtle but critical divergence exists: MetService (Official NZ Agency) explicitly forecasts a high of 22°C, while the resolution source (Wunderground) forecasts 70°F (~21.1°C). The market pricing reflects this uncertainty, with 21°C and 22°C trading as a duopoly rather than a single dominant outcome, slightly favoring 21°C to hedge against the resolution source's specific data feed.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
Weather|$180.0k Vol|
time12 hrs 58 mins

Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?

Top Undervalued
+10.5¢
31°C or below(Yes)
+4.1¢
32°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The valuation is anchored to the resolution source, Wunderground, whose specific forecast for March ...
Log in to see more
Exotics
This is a typical weather derivative market. While focusing on the exact temperature of a specific city on a single day is somewhat niche for the general public, it falls within the common and mature 'natural events' category of prediction markets, rather than being an absurd or novelty question.
Movers
March 21, 2026 - March 22, 2026, the price of '31°C or below' skyrocketed from 66.5c to 94.5c, as the final forecast from Wunderground locked in at 87°F (31°C) with less than 24 hours to go, eliminating fears of a sudden temperature spike. March 19, 2026 - March 21, 2026, the price of '31°C or below' climbed from 27.5c to 66.5c, as the cooling effects of recent rainfall were confirmed by weather models, prompting traders to dump higher temperature options.
Divergence
Significant divergence exists. Mainstream third-party sources like AccuWeather (89°F/32°C) and TimeAndDate (91°F/33°C) forecast temperatures higher than the resolution source, Wunderground (87°F/31°C). The prediction market correctly aligns with the resolution source's lower forecast, while traders relying blindly on other mainstream media might incorrectly assess '32°C' or '33°C' as having higher probabilities.
AI Analysis
Turnout in 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election
World|$18.1k Vol|
time1 days 0 hrs

Turnout in 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
80–85%(Yes)
+6.5¢
85–90%(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 2 days until the election, the market has largely completed its correction from the '...
Log in to see more
AI Analysis
# of seats won by Social Democrats in Denmark Parliamentary Election?
Politics|$25.9k Vol|
time1 days 0 hrs

# of seats won by Social Democrats in Denmark Parliamentary Election?

Top Undervalued
+15.5¢
35-39(Yes)
+6¢
40-44(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 2 days until the March 24 election, major Danish polls (Voxmeter, Epinion) remain sta...
Log in to see more
Movers
From March 20 to March 22, 2026, the price of '35-39' recovered from 31c to 40c, as speculative capital that had flowed into higher seat brackets began to retreat, and the market realized this bracket aligns with the polling baseline. From March 19 to March 21, 2026, the price of '40-44' crashed from 43.5c to 28c, because the previous surge lacked fundamental support (no new favorable polls appeared), and as the election neared, long positions took profits, causing the bubble to burst.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↓ 85
YesNo
34¢
66¢
36.9¢
63.1¢
+2.9¢
↓ 80
YesNo
1.8¢
98.2¢
99.4¢
+1.2¢
+1.2¢

Expand to view all 10 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Negative Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, -0.0090, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Negative Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, -0.0270, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Negative Factor 3: Distance to Yesterday Low Ratio, -0.0080, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday support test: distance of price relative to yesterday low Negative Factor 4: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0120, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Negative Factor 5: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, -0.0420, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Negative Factor 6: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.3140, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. Is there a free trial for the Pro plan?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets