What price will Solana hit on March 31?
Crypto|$13.7k Vol|
time8 hrs 53 mins

What price will Solana hit on March 31? - AI Found +18.9¢ Mispricing

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Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+18.9¢
↓ 80(Yes)
+2.1¢
↑ 85(No)

What price will Solana hit on March 31? AI analysis: • +18.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Highest temperature in London on April 1?
Weather|$83.5k Vol|
time16 hrs 53 mins

Highest temperature in London on April 1?

Top Undervalued
+10.5¢
15°C(Yes)
+9.5¢
13°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the maximum temperature in London (specifically the City ...
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Movers
March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026: The Yes price for 14°C rose from 26.5c to 40.5c, and the 15°C option surged from 20c to 49.5c before settling at 38.5c. This occurred because, as the date approaches, weather forecasting models have locked the expected high temperature into the 14°C to 15°C range. March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026: The Yes price for 11°C or below plummeted from 25.5c to 0.35c, and the 12°C option dropped from 20c to 2.4c, as short-term weather forecasts have effectively ruled out the possibility of extreme anomalous low temperatures.
AI Analysis
What are the exact resolution rules for this London temperature market, and how does the finalized whole-degree Celsius data from Wunderground determine the winning range?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 3?
Weather|$15.0k Vol|
time2 days 16 hrs

Highest temperature in NYC on April 3?

Top Undervalued
+32¢
60-61°F(Yes)
+19.5¢
59°F or below(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature at New York's LaGuardia Airport on A...
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Movers
March 30 - March 31, 2026: The price of '59°F or below' plunged from 33.5c to 14c, while '60-61°F' rose from 14c to 22c. This was caused by updated weather forecasts nearing the expiration date locking the expected high around 60-61°F, eliminating some extreme cold expectations. March 29 - March 30, 2026: The price of '78°F or higher' plummeted from 26c to 1.5c, and '68-69°F' dropped from 26c to 6c. This occurred because earlier forecast models showing anomalous warming scenarios were invalidated, prompting the market to quickly correct the probability of extreme highs.
Divergence
Current weather forecasts explicitly indicate a high probability of the April 3 temperature falling in the 60-61°F range, yet the market is still pricing 62-63°F (16.5c) and 64-65°F (17.5c) relatively high. This suggests that prediction market participants remain skeptical about the accuracy of forward-looking weather forecasts and have not fully priced in the latest meteorological consensus.
AI Analysis
Search historical weather data to calculate how often the maximum temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 3 has fallen into specific ranges like 60-61°F or 64-65°F over the past few years.
Highest temperature in Milan on April 1?
Weather|$19.8k Vol|
time16 hrs 53 mins

Highest temperature in Milan on April 1?

Top Undervalued
+2¢
17°C(Yes)
+1.7¢
14°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest trading price trends and weather forecast expectations, the highest temperature ...
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Movers
From March 30, 2026 to March 31, 2026, the Yes price for '16°C' surged from 24.5c to 39.5c, as short-term weather forecasts further confirmed the likelihood of this temperature range. From March 30, 2026 to March 31, 2026, the Yes price for '18°C' plummeted from 22.5c to 6.5c, due to meteorological models ruling out the possibility of reaching higher temperatures. From March 29, 2026 to March 30, 2026, the Yes price for '20°C or higher' plummeted from 37c to 9c, driven by updated short-term weather forecasts that corrected previous anomalies and ruled out unseasonably high temperatures. From March 29, 2026 to March 30, 2026, the Yes price for '10°C or below' crashed from 24c to around 9c. This intense volatility was likely caused by low liquidity and overreactions to short-term divergences between different meteorological models (e.g., GFS vs. ECMWF).
AI Analysis
How reliable is the Wunderground data for Malpensa Intl Airport Station (LIMC), and when exactly does the daily highest temperature data finalize to trigger market resolution?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Weather|$45.1k Vol|
time16 hrs 53 mins

Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
19°C(Yes)
+6¢
17°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological forecasts, the highest temperature in Beijing on April 1, 202...
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Movers
From March 30 to March 31, 2026, the prices of '17°C' and '16°C' plummeted from 48.5c to 16c and 31c to 6c respectively, as weather models adjusted towards warmer temperatures (18°C-19°C). From 19:30 to 21:40 on March 29, 2026, the price of '19°C' swung violently from 28c to 14c and back to 25c, due to meteorological models constantly adjusting peak temperature forecasts amid competing cold and warm advection. From 19:30 to 20:35 on March 29, 2026, the price of '12°C or below' plummeted from 25c to 8c as the possibility of an extreme cold front was largely ruled out by updated forecasts.
AI Analysis
How exactly does Wunderground finalize the highest temperature for the Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) station on April 1, and is there any risk of delayed or halted data updates?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
Weather|$33.0k Vol|
time16 hrs 53 mins

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?

Top Undervalued
+5¢
23°C(No)
+4.7¢
21°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Latest weather forecasts and current market price trends indicate that the highest temperature in Ch...
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Exotics
Although weather forecasting is a relatively common niche in prediction markets, the general public does not usually bet on the exact highest temperature of a specific city on a given day, making it a somewhat novel and niche topic.
Movers
March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the price of the 22°C option climbed from 11.5c to 28c, the 23°C option surged from 13c to 33.5c, and the 24°C option surged from 11.5c to 29.5c. This occurred because as the target date approached, short-term weather models converged their high-temperature expectations to the 22-24°C range, driving capital toward these three most likely outcomes.
AI Analysis
How exactly is the highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1 determined according to Wunderground data, and what happens if it hits exactly 24.5°C?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↓ 80
YesNo
9¢
93¢
27.9¢
72.1¢
+18.9¢
0¢
↑ 85
YesNo
20.7¢
84.8¢
13.1¢
86.9¢
0¢
+2.1¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, 0.0080, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Positive Factor 2: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0020, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Positive Factor 3: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0440, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range Negative Factor 1: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, -0.0020, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Negative Factor 2: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, -0.0380, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average

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