What price will XRP hit April 20-26?
Crypto|$11.0k Vol|
time3 days 7 hrs

What price will XRP hit April 20-26? - AI Mispricing Alert

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Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+8.7¢
↑ 1.50(No)
+1.4¢
↑ 1.70(Yes)
+1.4¢
↑ 1.60(Yes)

What price will XRP hit April 20-26? AI analysis: • +8.7¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Will GRVT launch a token by ___?
Crypto|$30.0k Vol|
time252 days 8 hrs

Will GRVT launch a token by ___?

Top Undervalued
+25.1¢
December 31, 2026(Yes)
+11¢
June 30, 2026(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The previous logical inversion in market prices has been corrected. The price of December 31 (90.15c...
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AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book depth and spread for each GRVT launch date option (Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec 2026), and combine this with the latest announcements on GRVT's Twitter regarding "Mainnet Launch" or "Tokenomics" to assess if current pricing in this low-liquidity ($3k) market reasonably reflects project progress.
Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?
Tech|$206.8k Vol|
time6 days 3 hrs

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

Top Undervalued
+11¢
Anthropic(No)
+8¢
OpenAI(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than a week until resolution, Anthropic remains the heavy favorite, but its probability ha...
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Movers
April 20, 2026 - April 23, 2026: Anthropic's price dropped from 93.5c to 74c, while OpenAI's price surged from 6.4c to a peak of 27.8c before settling at 21.3c. This was driven by intensified market speculation that OpenAI might release or blind-test a new model before the resolution date, posing a substantial threat to Anthropic's lead. April 16, 2026 - April 18, 2026: No option experienced a price fluctuation exceeding 10 cents. As the expiration date approaches, the market is converging towards an Anthropic victory with extremely low volatility, while long-tail options like DeepSeek have decayed further below 1 cent. April 9, 2026 - April 11, 2026: No option experienced a price fluctuation exceeding 10 cents. The market corrected its earlier irrational pricing, firmly establishing Anthropic as the overwhelming favorite. Earlier period: Most options experienced abnormal anchoring around 25.5 cents due to a lack of liquidity or initial order book structure, which has now fully normalized.
AI Analysis
Verify the update frequency of the Chatbot Arena (lmarena.ai) coding leaderboard: Are there any major coding model releases scheduled by companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, or DeepSeek just before the April 30th resolution date that could disrupt the rankings?
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
Culture|$52.3k Vol|
time251 days 3 hrs

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Severe backlogs in the Toronto justice system mean sexual assault cases average 18-30 months from ch...
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Rule Risk
There is moderate rule risk. The primary risk is procedural delay; Canadian court cases (especially sexual assault charges) can be lengthy. If the case does not reach a final judgment by Dec 31, 2026 (due to scheduling backlogs or ongoing trial), the market resolves to 'No'. Additionally, the rule specifies conviction of the 'currently charged' offense; if a plea deal is reached for a lesser charge instead of the original one, the market would likely resolve to 'No'.
Exotics
This is a highly specific and niche 'novelty' market. It focuses on the criminal outcome of a specific individual rather than a broad political or economic event. Unless the individual is a major public figure or the case has viral social significance, it represents a long-tail topic with high exoticism.
NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals
Sports|$393.3k Vol|
time9 days 11 hrs

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

Top Undervalued
+34.5¢
Los Angeles Lakers(No)
+21.5¢
Houston Rockets(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market prices and trends, teams like the Thunder, Celtics, Spurs, Cavaliers, and...
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Movers
Between 2026-04-17 and 2026-04-20, the price for the Orlando Magic rebounded significantly from about 3.5c to 30.2c, likely because they won a crucial game while on the brink of elimination, regaining life in their series. Between 2026-04-18 and 2026-04-20, the price for the Houston Rockets fell from 83.5c to 68c, indicating a setback in their series and casting some doubt on their advancement prospects. Between 2026-04-18 and 2026-04-20, the Los Angeles Lakers' price rose from 18c to 34c, suggesting they secured a vital win in their series, boosting hopes of a comeback or advancement. Between 2026-04-17 and 2026-04-19, the New York Knicks' price rose from 69c to 87.5c, indicating they secured key victories to solidify their lead, though it slightly retraced to 81.5c on April 20.
AI Analysis
Explain the win/loss conditions for this 2026 NBA Conference Semifinals market in simple terms—what exactly happens if a listed team is eliminated in the first round or the playoffs are delayed past June 30, 2026?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 24?
Weather|$29.1k Vol|
time15 hrs 33 mins

Highest temperature in Paris on April 24?

Top Undervalued
+23.5¢
22°C(No)
+21.5¢
23°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological forecasts, the highest temperature for Paris (Le Bourget Airp...
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Exotics
Predicting the daily high temperature for a specific city is a standard derivative on prediction markets, yet betting on the exact temperature of a single day remains a somewhat niche and novelty topic for the general public.
AI Analysis
How exactly is the highest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport determined on Wunderground, and what happens if the data is delayed?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↑ 1.50
YesNo
31¢
72¢
19.3¢
80.7¢
0¢
+8.7¢
↑ 1.70
YesNo
1.55¢
98.45¢
2.9¢
99.8¢
+1.4¢
+1.3¢

Expand to view all 14 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0310, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 2: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0330, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 3: Weekly Price Change, 0.0250, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Positive Factor 4: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0330, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Positive Factor 5: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, 0.0050, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average Negative Factor 1: Volume-Price Divergence Signal, 1.0000, Impact-Strong, Factor description Potential trap signal: detect divergence where price rises but volume decreases

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