What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
netflix|$11.0k Vol|
time4 hrs 51 mins

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.05 14:33
Top Undervalued
+5.5¢
Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1(No)
+1.3¢
Love on the Spectrum: Season 4(No)
+1¢
The Bad Guys: The Series(Yes)

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? AI analysis: • +5.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on current prediction market trends and last week's viewership data, the newly premiered 'XO, ...
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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
netflix|$20.2k Vol|
time4 hrs 51 mins

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Top Undervalued
+3.9¢
The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson(Yes)
+3.6¢
Anaconda(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest prediction market prices and trends, 'Anaconda' remains stable around 92c, indic...
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Movers
April 3, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of 'Anaconda' surged from 60c to 92c, as weekend data confirmed its solid lead at the top of the charts. April 3, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of 'The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson' plummeted from 46.5c to 7c, because its weekend viewership failed to overtake Anaconda. April 2, 2026 - April 4, 2026, the price of 'Anaconda' surged from 20c to 94c, driven by its consistently strong viewership performance and holding the top spot in the latter half of the week, leading the market to virtually confirm its weekly championship. April 2, 2026 - April 4, 2026, the price of 'The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson' plummeted from 40.5c to 3.9c, as its total viewership failed to surpass Anaconda, revealing the disadvantage of its shorter tracking window. April 2, 2026 - April 3, 2026, the price of '28 Years Later: The Bone Temple' plummeted from 41.5c to 4.5c, as its viewership data rapidly declined, leading the market to deem it out of contention for the top spot. April 2, 2026 - April 2, 2026, the price of 'Minions: The Rise of Gru' crashed from 38c to 1c, due to chart performance falling far short of expectations, effectively eliminating it from the race.
AI Analysis
What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
Culture|$58.0k Vol|
time4 hrs 51 mins

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Top Undervalued
+5.3¢
Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1(Yes)
+2.6¢
ONE PIECE: Season 2(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of the Yes prices for all listed options is currently only around 16%, clearly indicating th...
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Rule Risk
The rules explicitly restrict the resolution to 'English only' TV shows, which diverges from the broad 'global' phrasing in the title. If a non-English show has the highest global views, it will not win. Additionally, there is a risk of data delay resulting in an 'Other' resolution.
Movers
2026-04-03 to 2026-04-05, the price of 'Ms. Rachel: Season 2' briefly spiked to 40.5c on April 3 before crashing to under 1c, as early viewership expectations failed to hold up in subsequent data and capital quickly exited. 2026-04-02 to 2026-04-05, the price of 'Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1' plummeted from 41c to 10c, likely because it was overtaken by a newly released or unlisted dark horse series. 2026-04-02 to 2026-04-04, the price of 'Raw: 2026 - March 23, 2026' crashed from 48c to 1.6c due to lower-than-expected viewership and liquidity shifting towards new entries or the 'Other' option. 2026-04-02 to 2026-04-04, the price of 'ONE PIECE: Season 2' dropped from 41c to 3.1c, sharing the same fate as market consensus shifted entirely away from the previously favored top contenders.
AI Analysis
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Culture|$28.1k Vol|
time4 hrs 51 mins

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Top Undervalued
+84.6¢
Anaconda(No)
+23.3¢
Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of the YES prices for all listed options is currently only around 47.5 cents. This strongly ...
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Movers
April 3, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man recovered from 11.5c to around 26.5c, and Anaconda bounced from 4.3c to 11.9c, as some capital flowed back into top listed contenders following weekend viewership updates. April 2, 2026 - April 3, 2026, Peaky Blinders briefly surged from 50c to 90.5c before crashing to 11.5c. Concurrently, Anaconda plummeted from 49.5c to 6c, and Minions dropped from 43c to 8c. This was caused by the market likely realizing that an unlisted blockbuster movie ('Other') is dominating the charts, catastrophically squeezing the implied probabilities of all listed options.
AI Analysis
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
Culture|$105.7k Vol|
time4 hrs 51 mins

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
XO, Kitty Season 3(No)
+3¢
Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest trading data, 'XO, Kitty' Season 3 remains dominant, but as the resolution date ...
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Movers
April 5, 2026 - April 6, 2026, the price of 'XO, Kitty Season 3' pulled back from 95.5c to 84.5c, as profit-taking occurred ahead of the update and competing shows saw a slight data rebound late in the weekend. April 3, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of 'XO, Kitty Season 3' surged from 65c to 95.5c, because the weekly viewership tracking is nearing its end and its continuous dominance on the daily charts pushed market confidence to its peak. April 3, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of 'Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1' plummeted from 17c to 4c, due to slower-than-expected weekend viewership growth, entirely eliminating its mathematical chances of an overtake. April 1, 2026 - April 2, 2026, older shows like 'Love on the Spectrum: Season 4' and 'Beauty in Black: Season 2' plummeted from around 38c to near 0c, as the dominance of this week's top contenders became overwhelmingly clear, eliminating their chances.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1
YesNo
80.5¢
19.5¢
75¢
25¢
+5.5¢
Love on the Spectrum: Season 4
YesNo
11.25¢
88.75¢
10¢
90¢
+1.3¢

Expand to view all 13 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 2, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of 'Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1' surged from 48c to 78.5c, as the release of 'XO, Kitty Season 3' is expected to take the #1 spot, solidifying this show's position at #2. April 2, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of 'XO, Kitty Season 3' plummeted from 40.5c to 10c, because it is widely expected to rank #1, thus reducing its probability of being #2. April 2, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of 'The Bad Guys: The Series' crashed from 40.5c to 5.5c, due to strong performances from competitors eliminating its chances for the top two spots. April 2, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of 'Love on the Spectrum: Season 4' fell from 40.5c to 12.5c, as the market consolidated around the likely top two shows. April 2, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of 'The Predator of Seville: Limited Series' dropped from 40.5c to 5.5c, as its viewership failed to remain competitive. April 2, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of 'Raw: 2026 - March 23, 2026' crashed from 40.5c to 2.3c, as it fell down the viewership charts amidst newer releases.

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