AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.27 21:06
Top Undervalued
+20¢
Housing(Yes)
+17.5¢
Green(Yes)
+17.5¢
Europe(No)
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? AI analysis: • +20¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
In the UK's Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs), the PM conventionally addresses the Speaker by starti...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Housing
YesNo
35¢
65¢
55¢
45¢
+20¢
0¢
Green
YesNo
32.5¢
67.5¢
50¢
50¢
+17.5¢
0¢
Expand to view all 27 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
There are a few potential pitfalls in the rules: 1) Plurals and possessives count, but other forms (like different verb tenses) do not, which can cause dispute; 2) Compound words (e.g., killjoy for joy) count, potentially leading to unintended hits; 3) Options requiring specific counts (e.g., Mr. Speaker 10+) require precise tallying and are prone to controversies over misheard words or slips of the tongue.
Exotics
Betting on whether a politician will say specific words during a session (akin to 'political bingo') is common in prediction markets but highly unusual for the general public, making it a fairly exotic and novelty-driven market.
Movers
From April 26 to April 27, 2026, the price of 'Crisis' surged from 40c to 62.5c, as recent domestic and international emergencies increased the likelihood of the PM mentioning the word 'crisis' during PMQs.
On April 27, 2026, the price of 'Oil / Gas / Gasoline' rose from 71.5c to 81c, indicating renewed heat on energy issues.
From April 26 to April 27, 2026, 'U-Turn' dropped from 48.5c to 30c before rebounding to 53c, showing high volatility and market division on whether the opposition will accuse the government of a policy u-turn.
From April 23 to April 25, 2026, the price of 'Mr. Speaker 10+' surged from 43.5c to 99.45c, and 'Mr. Speaker 20+' surged from 42.5c to 82.5c, as the market realized that repeatedly addressing the Speaker is standard PMQs procedure, making the probability extremely high.
From April 24 to April 25, 2026, 'War' surged from 43c to 72c, and 'NHS' surged from 43c to 78c, likely due to international tensions and domestic healthcare issues taking center stage, leading the market to expect the PM to be questioned on these topics.
On April 25, 2026, the price of 'U-Turn' dropped sharply from 56.5c to 33.5c, indicating reduced confidence in its mention.
From April 24 to April 25, 2026, 'Oil / Gas / Gasoline' rose from 40c to 68.5c, possibly related to heated discussions on recent energy prices or climate policies.