Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
Culture|$190.8k Vol|
time241 days 22 hrs

Which artists will release new albums in 2026? - AI Found +21¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.01 12:56
Top Undervalued
+21¢
Playboi Carti(No)
+9.5¢
Lana Del Rey(No)
+9.5¢
Bad Bunny(Yes)

Which artists will release new albums in 2026? AI analysis: • +21¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Olivia Rodrigo and Drake remain around 98c, showing extreme market confidence in a 2026 album releas...
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Epstein suicide note released by...?
Politics|$23.5k Vol|
time27 days 22 hrs

Epstein suicide note released by...?

Top Undervalued
+59.5¢
May 31(Yes)
+38.7¢
May 8(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
On April 30, 2026, major outlets including The New York Times reported that a hidden suicide note by...
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Rule Risk
The criterion of a 'consensus of credible reporting' is subjective. For a highly controversial and conspiracy-laden topic like Epstein, an unverified leaked document could split media opinions, leading to a contested resolution.
Exotics
Epstein died in 2019. Creating a prediction market years later about the potential release of his suicide note is a highly niche and novelty topic that the general public rarely thinks about.
Divergence
The market prices (May 31 Yes at 24.5c) are significantly lower than the probability implied by recent breaking news. In late April 2026, major outlets like the NYT revealed the existence and partial contents of the note and are actively petitioning for its unsealing. The intense media scrutiny is likely to force the full release or further leaks of the note soon, making the current market pricing a severe underestimation.
AI Analysis
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
netflix|$11.9k Vol|
time1 days 22 hrs

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Top Undervalued
+2.9¢
Apex(No)
+0.9¢
Swapped(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest daily streaming charts (e.g., FlixPatrol) and recent market trading dynamics, 'A...
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Rule Risk
The rules explicitly state the resolution is based on the 'Global Top 10 Movies (English only)' list, while the title omits this language restriction, potentially misleading traders betting on popular non-English films. Additionally, there is a timing risk where the market resolves to 'Other' if the website update is delayed by more than three days.
Movers
April 29, 2026 - May 1, 2026: The price of 'Apex' surged from 51c to 96c, while other options like 'Swapped' plummeted (e.g., 'Swapped' fell from 25c to 3c). This was driven by daily viewership data from streaming trackers confirming that 'Apex' maintained an absolute global lead throughout the week, eliminating any competitive suspense.
AI Analysis
Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Crypto|$209.7k Vol|
time608 days 3 hrs

Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top Undervalued
+12¢
$200M(No)
+9¢
$1B(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Over the past 1 to 2 days, market expectations for Billions' valuation have seen a significant upwar...
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Exotics
This is a niche market focused on the future valuation of a specific crypto project (Billions Network). While routine for the crypto airdrop and new coin issuance community, it is relatively niche and specific for the general public or general financial markets, warranting a medium exoticism score.
Movers
April 26, 2026 - April 28, 2026, Yes prices across multiple brackets rebounded collectively. The $300M option surged from 10.4c to 25.4c, the $100M option climbed from 69.5c to 82c, and the $700M option spiked from 1.9c to 12.1c. The reason is likely a renewed market enthusiasm triggered by recent hints of funding, airdrop details, or overall bullish sentiment, causing fresh capital to heavily bet on mid-to-high valuation outcomes. April 3, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of the $100M option dropped from 37.5c to 31.5c, after a brief crash to 20.5c on April 4, due to short-term panic regarding initial valuation expectations followed by a partial recovery. March 17, 2026 - March 30, 2026, prices across all options entered a consolidation phase. Although the $200M option saw a slight rebound recently (7.5c to 17c), no significant movements exceeding 10c occurred. March 14, 2026 - March 17, 2026, the price of the $300M option crashed from 23c to 6.6c, while the $50M option surged from 76c to 93.5c. The reason was a market repricing of the Coinbase listing news: sentiment shifted rapidly from speculative hype on high valuations to a defensive consensus of 'guaranteed launch but low valuation,' causing liquidity to collapse in the higher brackets.
AI Analysis
Farrer By-Election Winner
Politics|$174.3k Vol|
time241 days 22 hrs

Farrer By-Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+7.5¢
David Farley(No)
+3¢
Michelle Milthorpe(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Farrer is traditionally an ultra-safe seat for the Liberal/National Coalition. As the by-election ap...
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Rule Risk
This market carries extreme resolution risk (Risk Score 5). 1. **Missing Favorites**: Farrer is historically a safe Liberal seat, and both the Liberal and National Parties are confirmed to contest the by-election. However, the market options only list three specific candidates (Dalton, Scriven, Milthorpe), **completely omitting the Liberal and National Party candidates**, who are the likely favorites. 2. **Ambiguous Fallback**: The rules state the market resolves to 'Other' if voting *does not take place*, but fail to explicitly state that it resolves to 'Other' if an *unlisted candidate* wins. If a tradable 'Other' option is not present, a victory by the Liberal candidate would leave the market with no valid resolution, likely leading to a dispute or voided market. This is a classic 'missing field' trap.
Movers
April 22, 2026 - April 26, 2026, David Farley's price rose steadily from 47.5c to 66c, while Michelle Milthorpe's price dropped from 49.5c to 34c. The reason is that as the by-election draws closer, the Coalition's base advantage in the ultra-safe seat becomes more apparent, prompting the market to squeeze out the speculative premium on the independent candidate and return to fundamentals. April 16, 2026 - April 19, 2026, David Farley's price surged from 18.5c to 42.5c, while Raissa Butkowski's price crashed from 21c to 3.6c. The reason is that as the by-election approaches and party nominations clear up, the market recognized Farley as the core major party candidate (likely the Coalition), absorbing scattered vote expectations while competitors were sold off. April 8, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Michelle Milthorpe's price rose from 39c to 58c. The reason is that as the by-election date approaches, market capital is further betting on her chances as the only competitive independent candidate, driving up a speculative premium. April 1, 2026 - April 4, 2026, Michelle Milthorpe's price rose from 35c to 46c. The reason is the formal announcement of the by-election date (May 9) and the issuing of writs, which solidified market expectations of her campaign momentum as the primary independent challenger. Concurrently, Rebecca Scriven's price wildly fluctuated from 1.8c to 17.3c and back to 8c, driven by speculative buying in a low-liquidity market following news that her Family First party would withhold preference votes from One Nation. March 17, 2026 - March 18, 2026, Michelle Milthorpe's price dropped from 34c to 21.5c before a minor rebound. The reason is likely a market reality check regarding an independent's actual chances in the traditional Coalition stronghold of Farrer, with liquidity shifting back towards the implied 'Coalition Win' (selling Milthorpe) logic. March 12, 2026 - March 13, 2026, Helen Dalton's price surged from 5.85c to 19.65c. The reason appears to be speculative rumors regarding her potential re-entry or irrational capital chasing low liquidity, which conflicted with her previous fundamental stance of 'confirmed withdrawal'. March 3, 2026 - March 5, 2026, Michelle Milthorpe's price experienced extreme volatility, crashing from 56c to 16c before rebounding to 34.5c. The reason was the market oscillating between the narratives of an 'invincible Coalition stronghold' and her being the 'sole challenger consolidating the protest vote' after the by-election date was confirmed.
AI Analysis
AZ-03 House Election Winner
Elections|$11.9k Vol|
time183 days 22 hrs

AZ-03 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
+5.5¢
Republican Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
AZ-03 is one of the safest Democratic strongholds in Arizona (Cook PVI D+24). The statistical probab...
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AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Playboi Carti
YesNo
48¢
52¢
27¢
73¢
+21¢
Lana Del Rey
YesNo
68.5¢
31.5¢
59¢
41¢
+9.5¢

Expand to view all 17 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Apr 28, 2026 - May 01, 2026, Lana Del Rey's price crashed from 73c to 40c before rebounding to 59.5c, likely due to news about potential delays triggering a sell-off, which was later partially corrected as rumors remained unconfirmed. Apr 28, 2026 - Apr 29, 2026, Billie Eilish's price surged from 20.5c to 50.5c, possibly driven by new studio updates or media interviews hinting at an upcoming album. Apr 20, 2026 - Apr 23, 2026, Travis Scott's price surged to 71c after fluctuating from 68c (up from 51.5c days earlier), likely due to heating rumors about studio sessions or collaborations for a new album. Apr 19, 2026 - Apr 21, 2026, Beyoncé's price crashed from 59c to 42.5c, possibly because news about a tour or focus on other projects dampened expectations for a near-term album release. Apr 15, 2026 - Apr 16, 2026, Sabrina Carpenter's price surged from 25.5c to 46c, likely due to recent rumors or producer hints regarding studio sessions for a 2026 album, heating up market expectations. Apr 12, 2026 - Apr 13, 2026, Beyoncé's price crashed from 73.5c to 48.5c before stabilizing, possibly because news about a tour or focus on other projects dampened expectations for a near-term album release. Apr 06, 2026 - Apr 09, 2026, Kendrick Lamar's price surged from 35.5c to 52.5c, likely due to new collaboration hints or leaked studio schedules, significantly boosting expectations for a release this year. Apr 06, 2026 - Apr 08, 2026, Justin Bieber's price quickly rebounded from 53.5c to 67.5c, indicating that market confidence in his comeback album was reinforced after a brief correction. Mar 31, 2026 - Apr 02, 2026, Justin Bieber's price surged from 44c to 60c, likely driven by emerging industry rumors or insider leaks regarding a highly anticipated comeback album in 2026. Mar 28, 2026 - Mar 30, 2026, Olivia Rodrigo's price experienced a flash crash from 98.3c down to 69.8c before rapidly recovering to 97.15c, indicating a brief panic possibly due to misinterpreted interview quotes, followed by a swift market correction. Mar 21, 2026 - Mar 23, 2026, Lana Del Rey's price crashed from 88c to 71.5c before quickly rebounding to 84c, reflecting short-term market panic triggered by isolated rumors followed by a rapid correction. Mar 17, 2026 - Mar 20, 2026, Olivia Rodrigo's price surged from 55.5c to 98.7c (+43.2c), likely due to strong signals regarding a 2026 album cycle released via social media or interviews, or a solidified fan consensus on her 'three-year cycle' (Sour 2021, GUTS 2023, Next 2026), leading to a rapid repricing towards certainty. Mar 14, 2026 - Mar 20, 2026, Kendrick Lamar's price fluctuated wildly between 24c and 45c, reflecting extreme market uncertainty about a 2026 follow-up, likely influenced by the aftermath of his Super Bowl performance and subsequent rumors. Mar 05, 2026 - Mar 10, 2026, Playboi Carti's price experienced a massive roller coaster, surging from 58c to 75c before crashing back to 47c due to a lack of official confirmation, demonstrating high sensitivity to hype.

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