Based on historical data, what is the average weekly number of posts (including main feed and reposts) by the @WhiteHouse X account over the past few months?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on historical data, what is the average weekly number of posts (including main feed and reposts) by the @WhiteHouse X account over the past few months?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Can you explain in simple terms (ELI5) exactly which types of @WhiteHouse posts (reposts, main feed replies, deleted posts) count towards the final resolution according to the rules?

AI-powered analysis for: Can you explain in simple terms (ELI5) exactly which types of @WhiteHouse posts (reposts, main feed replies, deleted posts) count towards the final resolution according to the rules?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How reliable is the xtracker.polymarket.com data source for capturing deleted @WhiteHouse posts within the ~5-minute window?

AI-powered analysis for: How reliable is the xtracker.polymarket.com data source for capturing deleted @WhiteHouse posts within the ~5-minute window?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Are there any major political events, state visits, or press briefings scheduled between May 15 and May 22, 2026, that could significantly spike the @WhiteHouse tweet volume?

AI-powered analysis for: Are there any major political events, state visits, or press briefings scheduled between May 15 and May 22, 2026, that could significantly spike the @WhiteHouse tweet volume?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Who currently manages the @WhiteHouse X account's PR strategy, and have there been any recent changes in their digital communication approach?

AI-powered analysis for: Who currently manages the @WhiteHouse X account's PR strategy, and have there been any recent changes in their digital communication approach?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Have there been previous historical precedents or disputes in the Polymarket community regarding the X tracker failing to update correctly for official government accounts?

AI-powered analysis for: Have there been previous historical precedents or disputes in the Polymarket community regarding the X tracker failing to update correctly for official government accounts?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What are the top three bearish arguments for why the @WhiteHouse might post less than 80 times during this specific week?

AI-powered analysis for: What are the top three bearish arguments for why the @WhiteHouse might post less than 80 times during this specific week?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Is the posting frequency of the @WhiteHouse highly predictable based on the weekday/weekend cycle, or is it heavily skewed by random breaking news?

AI-powered analysis for: Is the posting frequency of the @WhiteHouse highly predictable based on the weekday/weekend cycle, or is it heavily skewed by random breaking news?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How does time decay (Theta) affect the odds of the higher brackets (e.g., 140-159 or 200+) if the daily post count is unusually low in the first few days of the May 15-22 window?

AI-powered analysis for: How does time decay (Theta) affect the odds of the higher brackets (e.g., 140-159 or 200+) if the daily post count is unusually low in the first few days of the May 15-22 window?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Assuming a completely quiet news week and minimal weekend activity, what is the mathematically projected extreme bottom limit for @WhiteHouse tweets?

AI-powered analysis for: Assuming a completely quiet news week and minimal weekend activity, what is the mathematically projected extreme bottom limit for @WhiteHouse tweets?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What potential breaking news catalysts over the next 48 hours could push the @WhiteHouse posting rhythm into the 200+ extreme bracket?

AI-powered analysis for: What potential breaking news catalysts over the next 48 hours could push the @WhiteHouse posting rhythm into the 200+ extreme bracket?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What is the core disagreement in the Polymarket community regarding how the tracker distinctly records quoted replies on the @WhiteHouse main feed?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the core disagreement in the Polymarket community regarding how the tracker distinctly records quoted replies on the @WhiteHouse main feed?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the extremely low volume of $306, what is the estimated slippage risk for a $1,000-level capital entry across the 11 different tweet count brackets?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the extremely low volume of $306, what is the estimated slippage risk for a $1,000-level capital entry across the 11 different tweet count brackets?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How should I structure a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) plan across the week based on the daily updates from the Polymarket X tracker to average out costs?

AI-powered analysis for: How should I structure a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) plan across the week based on the daily updates from the Polymarket X tracker to average out costs?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

At what daily average tweet count should I set a red line to immediately cut my losses if I am heavily holding shares in the 120-139 bracket?

AI-powered analysis for: At what daily average tweet count should I set a red line to immediately cut my losses if I am heavily holding shares in the 120-139 bracket?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the historical daily average of @WhiteHouse posts, how should I allocate my portfolio across the most likely adjacent brackets using the Kelly criterion?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the historical daily average of @WhiteHouse posts, how should I allocate my portfolio across the most likely adjacent brackets using the Kelly criterion?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

For a $10 micro-capital play, which extreme bracket (like <20 or 200+) offers the best risk-reward ratio if an unforeseen vacation or crisis event occurs?

AI-powered analysis for: For a $10 micro-capital play, which extreme bracket (like <20 or 200+) offers the best risk-reward ratio if an unforeseen vacation or crisis event occurs?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If I hedge my position by buying both the 80-99 and 100-119 brackets, what is the estimated net ROI after accounting for fees and bid-ask slippage?

AI-powered analysis for: If I hedge my position by buying both the 80-99 and 100-119 brackets, what is the estimated net ROI after accounting for fees and bid-ask slippage?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Considering the poor liquidity, is the opportunity cost of tying up capital in this White House tweet market until May 22 justified compared to risk-free yields in DeFi protocols?

AI-powered analysis for: Considering the poor liquidity, is the opportunity cost of tying up capital in this White House tweet market until May 22 justified compared to risk-free yields in DeFi protocols?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How can I place extremely low 'stink bids' in the less likely brackets (e.g., 40-59) to capitalize on potential panic selling during low weekend posting activity?

AI-powered analysis for: How can I place extremely low 'stink bids' in the less likely brackets (e.g., 40-59) to capitalize on potential panic selling during low weekend posting activity?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Politics|$10.6k Vol|

1 days 19 hrs

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 10 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+5¢

180-199(Yes)

+3.5¢

200+(Yes)

+2.5¢

160-179(Yes)

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026? AI analysis: • +5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

With roughly 2 days left until settlement, the projection for the posting run rate has become much m...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

180-199

YesNo

20¢

80¢

25¢

75¢

+5¢

0¢

200+

YesNo

8.5¢

91.5¢

12¢

88¢

+3.5¢

0¢

Expand to view all 8 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

Predicting the exact number of posts by a government account over a random 7-day period is highly niche and novel. Before encountering this market, the general public would not consider the White House's tweet frequency.

Movers

Between May 16 and May 18, 2026, the price for the 160-179 bracket rose from 44c to 52c then fell to 38c, while the 140-159 bracket dropped from 28c to 11.5c, rebounded to 23.5c, then fell again. This was due to daily fluctuations in the average posting rate causing the market to frequently adjust expectations for the final outcome, leading to rapid capital shifts between adjacent brackets. Between May 16 and May 18, 2026, the price for the 180-199 bracket fell from 32.5c to 17.5c. This occurred as the posting run rate became clearer over time, causing brackets misaligned with the current pace to be sold off. Between May 14 and May 16, 2026, the price for the 160-179 bracket climbed from 31c to 44c, primarily driven by irrational speculation in high-frequency brackets without fundamental support. Between May 12 and May 13, 2026, the Yes prices for the 20-39 and 120-139 brackets plummeted from 39c to under 5c, while the 140-159 and 200+ brackets also saw drops exceeding 20c. This was due to extreme initial mispricing caused by illiquidity beginning to naturally correct toward more realistic levels.