This is a highly specific novelty market. Outside of prediction market participants, the general public rarely cares about, tracks, or predicts the exact range of posts made by the official White House account in a given week.

April 18, 2026 - April 21, 2026, the price of the '140-159' option rose steadily from 10c to 30c, as posting frequency data indicated an increasing likelihood of the final total falling within this range. April 18, 2026 - April 19, 2026, the price of the '180-199' option dropped from 33c to 18c, as posting frequency stabilized over time, cooling expectations for an extremely high post count. April 17, 2026 - April 18, 2026, the price of the '160-179' option surged from 20.5c to over 36c, because after the actual first-day posting data was observed, the market deduced that the final total is most likely to fall in this range at the current pace. April 14, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the prices for '100-119' and '120-139' crashed from around 40c to below 10c, while '180-199' and '200+' surged by more than 15c. This is due to a notable increase in the recent posting activity of the White House X account, causing the market to adjust its expectations for the total post count significantly higher.

April 21, 2026 - April 21, 2026, David Bailey's price plummeted from 48.0c to 26.5c, due to rapid profit-taking following a recent surge and a sudden shift in draft expectations. April 20, 2026 - April 21, 2026, Arvell Reese's price surged from 10.5c to 31.5c, driven by new rumors and mock drafts pushing his expected draft position higher as the event approaches. April 20, 2026 - April 21, 2026, Jeremiyah Love's price surged from 11.55c to 26.25c, driven by short-term retail speculation in an illiquid market as the draft approaches. April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026, Jeremiyah Love's price surged from 8.35c to 26.25c, driven by speculative retail hype in extremely low liquidity nearing the draft. April 18, 2026 - April 19, 2026, David Bailey's price surged from 21.0c to 44.5c, driven by blind retail momentum buying in a low-liquidity environment right before resolution. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, Trevor Goosby's price collapsed from 41.2c to 0.2c, as previous mispricing or manipulation ended and capital swiftly exited. April 16, 2026 - April 18, 2026, Francis Mauigoa's price plummeted from 31.6c to 8.0c, driven by early speculative profit-taking and a stampede effect due to lacking liquidity. April 17, 2026 - April 18, 2026, LT Overton's price bizarrely spiked from 1.35c to 25.35c within hours before crashing back to 3.7c, caused by erroneous orders or intentional pumping in an extremely illiquid market.

April 15, 2026 - April 16, 2026, DMK's price quickly retraced from 81c to 70c, while TVK's price briefly spiked from 4.5c to 14.5c. This was due to late-stage campaign speculative volatility and short-term noise regarding TVK's appeal to undecided voters, before prices rapidly corrected. March 23, 2026 - March 25, 2026, ADMK's price plummeted from 26.95c to 15.4c as the market priced in heightening fears over vote-splitting by TVK as the election draws nearer, causing weak hands to sell. February 26, 2026 - March 1, 2026, TVK's price rebounded sharply from 9c to 20.5c due to speculative dip-buying and retail sentiment surrounding campaign rallies following a previous crash, despite no change in fundamentals. February 9, 2026 - February 11, 2026, TVK's price declined from 33c to 24.5c as mainstream polls placed them at ~19% and analysts noted a fading 'novelty effect'.

April 21, 2026 - April 21, 2026, Arvell Reese's price plummeted from 73.5c to 43c, while David Bailey's price surged from 25.5c to 56.5c. This is due to major insider news or credible reports emerging on the eve of the draft, pointing the 2nd overall pick towards Bailey and causing a fundamental reversal in market expectations. April 20, 2026 - April 21, 2026, Arvell Reese's price rapidly dropped from 77c to 59.5c, while David Bailey's price sharply rebounded from 21c to 40.5c. This is likely due to conflicting reports or draft-eve 'smokescreens' regarding the true intentions of the team with the 2nd overall pick, causing market confidence to waver and capital to reallocate risk. April 18, 2026 - April 20, 2026, Arvell Reese's price surged from 53.5c to 77c, while David Bailey's price plummeted from 44c to 21c. This is due to the imminent draft day; the final intentions of the team holding the 2nd overall pick have become extremely clear, with late-breaking intelligence heavily favoring Reese. April 16, 2026 - April 18, 2026, David Bailey's price fluctuated wildly between 25.5c and 49c, while Arvell Reese's price also swung sharply between 47c and 61.5c. This was due to intense competition on the eve of the draft, with constant rumors regarding team workout feedback and final intentions causing market expectations to bounce back and forth between the two. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Arvell Reese's price rapidly dropped from 51c to 35.5c, while concurrently David Bailey's price surged from 46c to 61c. This significant reversal in market expectations was likely driven by late-breaking insider news or team workout feedback as the draft nears. April 6, 2026 - April 8, 2026, Arvell Reese's price rapidly dropped from 73c to 55.5c, while concurrently David Bailey's price rose from 14.5c to 26c, indicating that as the draft approaches, capital is taking profits from the heavy favorite and rotating into a rising contender. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, Ty Simpson's price surged from 2.15c to 11.25c, likely due to recent mock drafts or team workout performances boosting his expected draft position. March 17, 2026 - March 19, 2026, David Bailey's price surged from 11c to 32.5c, establishing him as a top contender, likely due to recent scouting reports or insider leaks linking him to the team holding the #2 pick. March 17, 2026 - March 19, 2026, Jeremiyah Love experienced a classic 'pump and dump,' skyrocketing from 0.6c to 13.5c before crashing back to 2.7c within a day, indicating manipulation or highly volatile speculative capital. March 9, 2026 - March 12, 2026, Sonny Styles' price surged from 2.5c to 17.5c, while concurrently, Reuben Bain Jr. plummeted from 16.5c to 5.6c. This drastic 'seesaw' action indicates capital is rapidly rotating from one defensive candidate to another without fundamental support, driven largely by speculative sentiment. March 2, 2026 - March 3, 2026, Ty Simpson, Jeremiyah Love, and Fernando Mendoza all experienced extreme volatility, skyrocketing from lows (~3c) to over 20c within 24 hours before partially retracting. This collective 'V-shaped' reversal demonstrates extremely shallow market depth where small capital flows create massive price illusions.