XRP above ___ on May 13?
Crypto|$12.2k Vol|
time15 hrs 50 mins

XRP above ___ on May 13? - AI Found +20.9¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+20.9¢
1.40(No)
+1¢
1.50(Yes)
+1¢
1.50(No)

XRP above ___ on May 13? AI analysis: • +20.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
Weather|$18.1k Vol|
time11 hrs 50 mins

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?

Top Undervalued
+43.8¢
26°C(No)
+28¢
25°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other major weather platforms, ...
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Movers
2026-05-12 07:48 to 2026-05-12 09:58, the price of the 26°C option surged from 10.5c to 49.5c, while the 25°C option retreated from its high of 43.5c to 32.5c. This was driven by the latest meteorological updates adjusting the expected overnight minimum temperature slightly upward as the resolution date approaches, causing market funds to rapidly consolidate on 26°C.
AI Analysis
How exactly will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13 be determined, and what happens if the Hong Kong Observatory revises the data after it is finalized?
Highest temperature in London on May 13?
Weather|$91.0k Vol|
time11 hrs 50 mins

Highest temperature in London on May 13?

Top Undervalued
+13¢
13°C(No)
+7¢
14°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest Wunderground forecast for London City Airport (EGLC), the high temperature f...
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Movers
May 11, 2026 - May 12, 2026: The Yes price for 13°C surged from 23c to a peak of 57.5c (currently around 40.5c), and 12°C climbed from 8.7c to 22c. Meanwhile, 15°C plunged from 27c to a low of 4.5c, and 14°C dropped from 38.5c to 22.5c. This significant shift was driven by a downward revision in the weather forecast for May 13, which adjusted the expected high from the 15-16°C range down to around 13°C (56°F), significantly boosting the likelihood of the lower temperature options.
AI Analysis
How will the rule of recording temperatures to whole degrees Celsius on Wunderground for the London City Airport station specifically affect the resolution of this market?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 13?
Weather|$10.6k Vol|
time11 hrs 50 mins

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 13?

Top Undervalued
+64.5¢
17°C(No)
+30.8¢
16°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate a low temperature between 14°C and 17°C for Tokyo Haneda Airport o...
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Movers
May 11, 2026 - May 12, 2026, the price of 15°C plummeted from 25c to 4.5c, before rebounding to 15.5c, driven by short-term adjustments in weather models that temporarily shifted the minimum temperature expectation to a higher range before partially correcting.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution criteria for this Tokyo temperature market in simple terms, especially how Wunderground's data finalization for Haneda Airport (RJTT) and the "whole degrees Celsius" precision rule will determine the winning option.
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 13?
Weather|$10.9k Vol|
time11 hrs 50 mins

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 13?

Top Undervalued
+51.5¢
19°C(No)
+17¢
18°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Latest weather forecasts indicate that the low temperature in Shanghai (including Pudong Internation...
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Movers
May 11, 2026 - May 12, 2026, the price of the 19°C option surged from around 30c to a peak of 48c, as updated meteorological data strongly favored this range for the overnight low. May 11, 2026 - May 12, 2026, the 21°C option plummeted from 28.4c to under 1c, the 17°C option dropped from 22c to 8.5c, and the 20°C option declined from 27c to 15.5c. This indicates that as the target date approaches, the market is pricing out tail-end risks and rapidly converging on the 18°C-19°C consensus.
AI Analysis
Search historical Wunderground data for Shanghai Pudong Airport (ZSPD) to calculate the actual frequency of the lowest temperature falling into each option's range on May 13th over the past five years.
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 13?
Weather|$15.2k Vol|
time11 hrs 50 mins

Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 13?

Top Undervalued
+65.5¢
12°C(No)
+28¢
13°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current market prices indicate the Yes price for 12°C has risen to 32c, 13°C to 28.5c, and 14°C to 8...
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Rule Risk
The title asks for the lowest temperature in 'Seoul', but the resolution rules strictly specify the 'Incheon Intl Airport Station'. Incheon airport is located on a coastal island and its temperature often differs significantly from central Seoul. This geographical discrepancy is a notable rule trap.
Exotics
Asking for the exact lowest daily temperature of a specific city is a relatively niche topic. Aside from weather enthusiasts or locals, few people actively predict and trade this, although weather markets do have a standard presence in prediction markets.
Movers
May 11, 2026 - May 12, 2026: The price of the 11°C option dropped from 21.5c to 6c, the 14°C option dropped from 24.05c to 8.45c, and the 12°C option rose from 19c to 32c. This was due to weather forecast models converging as the date approached, confirming the lowest temperature would likely land in the 12-13°C range, thereby decreasing the probabilities of the edge ranges and increasing the core ranges.
AI Analysis
How reliable is the Wunderground data for the Incheon Intl Airport Station (RKSI), and are there any risks of data update delays or missing records on May 13 that could delay resolution?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
1.40
YesNo
88.5¢
11.5¢
67.6¢
32.4¢
0¢
+20.9¢
1.50
YesNo
2¢
98¢
3¢
99¢
+1¢
+1¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0140, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Positive Factor 2: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0220, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Positive Factor 3: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, 0.0060, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Negative Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, -0.0000, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Negative Factor 2: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0840, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

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