This is a quintessential novelty/exotic market. Outside of prediction markets, the general public or financial institutions would never forecast or track the exact number of tweets a president makes in a specific week.

April 4, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of '60-79' surged from 41.5c to 75c, '80-99' dropped from 47.5c to 27c, and '40-59' plummeted from 16c to near zero, as accumulated posting data and passing time significantly increased the certainty of the final count landing in the 60-79 range. April 3, 2026 - April 4, 2026, the price of '100-119' surged from 5.5c back to 23.5c and then fell to 2.6c, as the market continuously adjusted projections based on actual daily pacing, realizing the likelihood of hitting 100 posts in the remaining time is extremely low. April 1, 2026 - April 3, 2026, '60-79' fluctuated violently between 30c and 43.5c, while '80-99' spiked from 26.5c to 44c before retracing, as participants continuously adjusted their projections based on the actual daily posting pace. April 2, 2026 - April 3, 2026, the 'Yes' prices of extreme options like '140-159', '160-179', '180-199', and '200+' plummeted from around 25c to 1c-3c. This was because market participants realized the impossibility of such high posting volumes, and arbitrage capital entered to buy 'No', significantly correcting the highly irrational pricing. March 31, 2026 - April 1, 2026, the 'Yes' prices of favored options like '40-59' and '60-79' fell from over 50c down to around 30c, alongside >10c drops in extreme options. This occurred as market participants began arbitraging by buying 'No' shares, correcting the previously absurd pricing. March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, the 'Yes' prices of multiple options such as '20-39', '100-119', and '200+' plummeted by 20c to 35c. This was due to extremely poor early market liquidity and irrational order book distribution, which was subsequently corrected by a small influx of rational capital.