The rules exclude normal replies but state that replies recorded on the main feed by the tracker (xtracker) will count, as will deleted posts if they remain for ~5 minutes. This technical reliance on a specific tracking tool creates a moderate risk of discrepancy compared to direct manual observation on X.

Predicting the exact number of posts from a government social media account within a specific week is a very niche and novel topic that falls far outside the general public's normal sphere of interest.

Yes prices for all options hover around 46-50 cents, implying a near 50% probability for every mutually exclusive bucket. This is mathematically impossible and completely diverges from historical realities, where the White House averages 60-100 posts per week.