[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Access the Polymarket page for 'Will the U.S. invade Venezuela?' (Volume $13.7M+). Analyze the depth of the 'No' side walls—is the market pricing this as highly unlikely? Review the comment section for disputes regarding the definition of 'commencing a military offensive' versus covert operations or sanctions enforcement, and check for arbitrage opportunities across specific expiration dates.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest updates on the Russia-Ukraine frontline status and diplomatic negotiations (specifically focusing on long-term projections for 2025-2026). Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the $10M+ volume and Order Book depth, looking for large anomalous capital flows betting on a 'long war of attrition' versus a 'sudden ceasefire', and update the fair value and risk assessment for an official ceasefire agreement being reached before the end of 2026.

[Mandatory Task] Visit the Polymarket page for this event to analyze the order book depth and spread behind the ~$9.8M volume. Given the current date of March 1, 2026, assess whether the current price accurately reflects time decay (Theta) as the year-end deadline approaches, or if there is still a panic premium due to recent geopolitical frictions.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest on Iran's internal situation (e.g., protests, sanctions) and user discussions on the Polymarket page to analyze if current odds reasonably reflect regime change risks, and assess liquidity depth given the $6.2M volume.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the distribution of the $5.3M volume, assess the bid-ask spread and depth for top candidates (e.g., Vicky Dávila, Claudia López), and update the fair value assessment for 'First Round Win' vs. 'Second Round Runoff' probabilities.

Visit the Polymarket page for 'Elon Musk # tweets March 13 - March 20, 2026' and cross-reference with historical data from xtracker.polymarket.com to analyze the capital flow divergence between the 200-300 range and the 400+ high-frequency buckets, assessing whether the market has fairly priced in potential volatility for this week and identifying any arbitrage spreads across adjacent buckets.

[Mandatory Task] Comprehensively assess the order book for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market, analyzing the implied probabilities and depth for top contenders like Trump, Zelenskyy, and Navalnaya. Incorporate the global geopolitical landscape as of March 2026 (e.g., Russia-Ukraine progress, Middle East tensions) to update fair value assessments and identify any pricing inefficiencies driven by sentiment or hype.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the distribution of the $3.6M trading volume, specifically the spread between 'No change' and '25 bps decrease', and update the fair value assessment based on current macro data.

[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest trading data from the Polymarket "Greenland Acquisition" page, analyzing the bid-ask spread and depth behind the $8.4M volume. Combine this with a search for recent Trump administration statements or State Department moves regarding Arctic strategy to assess if the current "Yes" price reflects genuine geopolitical risk or merely retail speculation based on memes.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the real-time order book for the 'Iran leadership change by...?' event, specifically focusing on liquidity and whale volume in the imminent 'March 13' option; combine this with the latest March 9 war updates (e.g., US/Israel targeting statements) to assess if the market is pricing in an immediate assassination attempt on the newly appointed Supreme Leader.

Retrieve the latest information, visit the Polymarket page for the 'Fed Chair Confirmation' event to analyze the Order Book and user discussions, and update the assessment of fair value, arbitrage strategies, and risks, specifically focusing on liquidity gaps between top contenders like Kevin Warsh and Jerome Powell based on recent White House leaks.

[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest Order Book data for 'Which countries will strike Iran by March 31', focusing on the liquidity and spread for high-probability candidates like the UK or Saudi Arabia versus unlikely ones like Canada or Qatar, and update the fair value assessment based on recent geopolitical news.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for this event to analyze the order book depth for the "No" side given the current simulated date (March 1, 2026), and scan for any substantial breaking news regarding Trump's health or immediate resignation rumors in the last 24 hours to re-assess if the current odds deviate from fair value.

Retrieve the latest order book data for the 'Iran Regime Fall' market, analyze the liquidity depth of only $16k, and combining this with recent geopolitical tensions, reassess whether the current odds reasonably reflect the IRGC's grip on power.