Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?
Finance|$1,981 Vol|
time3 days 3 hrs

Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings? - AI Mispricing Alert

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Last updated: 4 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+1.3¢
(Yes)

Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings? AI analysis: • +1.3¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
AMD's consensus non-GAAP EPS is estimated at $1.28. Approaching the May 5 earnings date, the 'Yes' o...
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
Weather|$54.3k Vol|
time18 hrs 16 mins

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+1¢
28°C(No)
+1¢
27°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other meteorological agencies o...
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Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The price of the 30°C option plummeted from 27c to 8.5c, and the 29°C option dropped from 48c to 35.5c, while the 28°C option surged from 22.5c to 43c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, updated weather forecasts confirmed heavier rain and cloud cover, prompting the market to discount the likelihood of higher temperatures and shift the peak probability range down to 28°C.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Weather|$35.9k Vol|
time18 hrs 16 mins

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+17¢
23°C(No)
+9.5¢
22°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the highest temperature at Tokyo (Haneda Airport) on May ...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a somewhat niche and novelty topic for retail prediction markets. However, it is not absurd, as weather is scientifically measurable and weather derivatives are common in professional fields.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
93.65¢
6.35¢
95¢
+1.3¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
AMD
NVDA
AMD's earnings directly dictate the short-term trajectory of its own stock (AMD), typically triggering highly volatile price swings (high impact). Furthermore, as a leading semiconductor firm, its financial performance and forward guidance create strong sentiment and valuation spillovers for peers like Nvidia (NVDA), while also exerting a moderate marginal influence on the broader Nasdaq 100 index.
Movers
April 28, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 52c all the way to 97.1c, before stabilizing around 94c. The reason is the massive influx of capital into the bullish option as market confidence in stronger-than-expected AI chip demand peaked right before the earnings release. April 25, 2026 - April 26, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' jumped from 61.5c to 86.5c, before dropping back to 52c over the next two days, likely due to market overreaction to forward guidance from certain analysts or rumors, followed by short-term profit-taking.

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