Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?
Finance|$2,277 Vol|
time4 days 3 hrs

Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.01 11:57
Top Undervalued
+4.2¢
(No)

Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings? AI analysis: • +4.2¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market price has stabilized around 90 cents, reflecting extremely high confidence among ...
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
Weather|$54.3k Vol|
time18 hrs 16 mins

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+1¢
28°C(No)
+1¢
27°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other meteorological agencies o...
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Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The price of the 30°C option plummeted from 27c to 8.5c, and the 29°C option dropped from 48c to 35.5c, while the 28°C option surged from 22.5c to 43c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, updated weather forecasts confirmed heavier rain and cloud cover, prompting the market to discount the likelihood of higher temperatures and shift the peak probability range down to 28°C.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Weather|$35.9k Vol|
time18 hrs 16 mins

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+17¢
23°C(No)
+9.5¢
22°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the highest temperature at Tokyo (Haneda Airport) on May ...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a somewhat niche and novelty topic for retail prediction markets. However, it is not absurd, as weather is scientifically measurable and weather derivatives are common in professional fields.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
94.15¢
5.85¢
90¢
10¢
+4.2¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
APP
This prediction is directly tied to AppLovin's (APP) earnings. A beat or miss in earnings typically results in a significant, tradable price movement for the individual stock (5%-15% range). Since APP's market cap has limited influence on the broader market, the impact on the Nasdaq 100 index is negligible.
Movers
From April 30, 2026 to May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' fluctuated by over 10c, bouncing between 84.65c and 95.2c. This volatility is due to the approaching earnings release date, triggering short-term speculation and profit-taking by early investors. From April 26, 2026 to April 27, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 57.85c to 90.85c, and has remained at elevated levels near 90c in the following days. This massive spike indicates that market participants received a strong signal supporting an earnings beat by Applovin, possibly due to excellent financial results from industry peers or significant upward revisions of earnings guidance by investment banks.

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