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Market
Price
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Value
Edge
David Jolly
YesNo
Shevrin Jones
YesNo
Jerry Demings
YesNo
Jason Pizzo
YesNo
Angie Nixon
YesNo
Fentrice Driskell
YesNo
Gwen Graham
YesNo
Daniella Levine Cava
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.16 22:46 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
The market currently holds a total implied probability of ~117%, indicating significant overpricing....
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Divergence
A significant mathematical divergence exists. The sum of all 'Yes' prices approaches 117%, implying a logical impossibility (total probability cannot exceed 100%). This divergence is primarily driven by long-tail candidates (Pizzo, Jones, Driskell, etc.) maintaining 'zombie prices' of 3c-5c despite having negligible chances or actively running for other offices. This liquidity trap prevents the market from accurately reflecting the true probability distribution.
